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Banking crises in developing countries–What crucial role of exchange rate stability and external liabilities?

Author

Listed:
  • Brahim Gaies

    (IPAG Business School)

  • Stéphane Goutte

    (UP8 - Université Paris 8 Vincennes-Saint-Denis)

  • Khaled Guesmi

    (IPAG Paris - IPAG Paris)

Abstract

We examine the determinants of banking crises occurrence in developing countries, focusing on the impact of the nature of external liabilities and exchange rate stability. For this purpose, we use a logit panel model, including 67 developing countries observed between 1972 and 2011, as well as a set of alternative estimation methods (logit fixed-effects and probit random-effects) and robustness tests. We find that FDI liabilities reduce the occurrence of banking crises, but debt liabilities increase them. In addition, banking crises occurrence decreases in developing countries with the stability of the exchange rate, real GDP growth, as well as better human capital quality and better political institutions.
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  • Brahim Gaies & Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi, 2018. "Banking crises in developing countries–What crucial role of exchange rate stability and external liabilities?," Post-Print halshs-02148916, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-02148916
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.12.014
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-02148916
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jahmane, Abderrahmane & Gaies, Brahim, 2020. "Corporate social responsibility, financial instability and corporate financial performance: Linear, non-linear and spillover effects – The case of the CAC 40 companies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    3. Gao, Kaijuan & Lin, Wanfa & Yang, Li & Chan, Kam C., 2020. "The impact of analyst coverage and stock price synchronicity: Evidence from brokerage mergers and closures✰," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    4. Donia Aloui & Brahim Gaies & Rafla Hchaichi, 2023. "Exploring environmental degradation spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa: the energy–financial instability nexus," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1699-1724, June.
    5. Jamali, Ibrahim & Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability in emerging markets: Fundamentals versus technical analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-263.
    6. Gaies, Brahim & Goutte, Stéphane & Guesmi, Khaled, 2020. "Does financial globalization still spur growth in emerging and developing countries? Considering exchange rates," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    7. Naif Alsagr & Stefan F. Van Hemmen Almazor, 2020. "Oil Rent, Geopolitical Risk and Banking Sector Performance," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 305-314.
    8. Aguima Aime Bernard Lompo, 2024. "How Does Financial Sector Development Improve Tax Revenue Mobilization for Developing Countries?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66(1), pages 91-125, March.
    9. Summaira Malik & Ali Abbas & Malik Shahzad Shabbir & Carlos Samuel Ramos-Meza, 2024. "Business Cycle Fluctuations, Foreign Direct Investment, and Real Effective Exchange Rate Nexus Among Asian Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 5466-5479, June.
    10. Taner Turan & Halit Yanıkkaya, 2021. "External debt, growth and investment for developing countries: some evidence for the debt overhang hypothesis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 20(3), pages 319-341, September.
    11. Gaies, Brahim & Kaabia, Olfa & Ayadi, Rim & Guesmi, Khaled & Abid, Ilyes, 2019. "Financial development and energy consumption: Is the MENA region different?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    12. Brahim Gaies & Mahmoud‐Sami Nabi, 2021. "Banking crises and economic growth in developing countries: Why privileging foreign direct investment over external debt?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(4), pages 736-761, October.
    13. Azmat Gani & Tareq Rasul, 2020. "The Institutional Quality Effect on Credits Provided by the Banks," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(3), pages 249-258, August.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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