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Global Value Chain Integration and Business Cycle Synchronisation: Evidence from Selected ASEAN Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Bhushan Praveen Jangam

    (School of Management and Entrepreneurship, Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur, India)

  • Badri Narayan Rath

    (Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad, Kandi, Sangareddy,Telangana – 502 284, India)

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between global value chain (GVC) integration and business cycle synchronisation in selected Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries from 2007 to 2021. Using a panel fixed effects approach, we discover the following key findings: First, we find that GVC integration is associated with both output synchronisation and desynchronisation in ASEAN countries. Second, we notice that the outcomes differ depending on the type of GVC integration, such as forward integration, backward integration, or two-sided integration. Third, for a more in-depth understanding, we conduct an industry-specific analysis. We examine three major industry categories: manufacturing, services, and high-technology industries. The findings show mixed evidence of an association between GVC integration and BCS in these industries. The findings highlight the shock transmission associated with GVC integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhushan Praveen Jangam & Badri Narayan Rath, 2024. "Global Value Chain Integration and Business Cycle Synchronisation: Evidence from Selected ASEAN Countries," Working Papers DP-2023-28, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    • Handle: RePEc:era:wpaper:dp-2023-28
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • L6 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing
    • L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services

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