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Currency Intervention: A Case Study of an Emerging Market

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  • Renee Fry-McKibbin
  • Sumila Wanaguru

Abstract

Using a unique dataset on daily foreign exchange intervention and a new methodological framework of a latent factor model of central bank intervention, this paper addresses the effects of intervention in an emerging market. Events in financial markets from 2002 to 2010 provide a natural experiment to evaluate the short and medium term objectives of the central bank to contain excessive exchange rate volatility and to accumulate foreign reserves respectively. In the low volatility period in the first part of the sample, the central bank is successful in influencing the currency when pressure is to appreciate, accumulating international reserves. The same model estimated for the global volatility period in the second part of the sample shows the central bank intervening to mitigate excessive exchange rate volatility in line with the short-term objective.

Suggested Citation

  • Renee Fry-McKibbin & Sumila Wanaguru, 2012. "Currency Intervention: A Case Study of an Emerging Market," CAMA Working Papers 2012-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2012-32
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2017-02/32_mckibbin_wanaguru_2012.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Edgar Ventura Neyra & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015. "Explaining the Determinants of the Frequency of Exchange Rate Interventions in Peru Using Count Models," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 61(3), pages 261-292.
    2. Patrick Carvalho & Renee A. Fry-McKibbin, 2014. "Foreign Reserve Accumulation and the Mercantilist Motive Hypothesis," CAMA Working Papers 2014-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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