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Dynamic credit constraints: theory and evidence from credit lines

Author

Listed:
  • Rogantini Picco, Anna
  • Amberg, Niklas
  • Jacobson, Tor
  • Quadrini, Vincenzo

Abstract

We use a comprehensive Swedish credit register to document that firms across the size distribution have access to substantial borrowing capacity via credit lines. However, most firms choose not to use all available credit, even though interest rates are low compared to their return on equity. The low utilization of credit is consistent with a theoretical model in which utilization rates decrease with both real and financial uncertainty. We estimate the model structurally at the firm level and find that financial uncertainty driven by liquidity shocks is much more important than real uncertainty driven by cash flow shocks for explaining the low utilization of credit. JEL Classification: D22, E44, G21, G32

Suggested Citation

  • Rogantini Picco, Anna & Amberg, Niklas & Jacobson, Tor & Quadrini, Vincenzo, 2026. "Dynamic credit constraints: theory and evidence from credit lines," Working Paper Series 3216, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20263216
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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