IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eca/wpaper/2013-294809.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Center-Outward R-Estimation for Semiparametric VARMA Models

Author

Listed:
  • Marc Hallin
  • Davide La Vecchia
  • H Liu

Abstract

We propose a new class of estimators for semiparametric VARMA models with the innovation density playing the role of nuisance parameter. Our estimators are R-estimators based on the multivariate concepts of center-outward ranks and signs recently proposed by Hallin~(2017). We show how these concepts, combined with Le Cam's asymptotic theory of statistical experiments, yield a robust yet flexible and powerful class of estimation procedures for multivariate time series. We develop the relevant asymptotic theory of our R-estimators, establishing their root-n consistency and asymptotic normality under a broad class of innovation densities including, e.g. multimodal mixtures of Gaussians or and multivariate skew-t distributions. An implementation algorithm is provided in the supplementary material, available online. A Monte Carlo study compares our R-estimators with the routinely-applied Gaussian quasi-likelihood ones; the latter appear to be quite significantly outperformed away from elliptical innovations. Numerical results also provide evidence of considerable robustness gains. Two real data examples conclude the paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Hallin & Davide La Vecchia & H Liu, 2019. "Center-Outward R-Estimation for Semiparametric VARMA Models," Working Papers ECARES 2019-25, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  • Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/294809
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/294809/3/2019-25-HALLIN_LAVECCHIA_LIU-center.pdf
    File Function: Œuvre complète ou partie de l'œuvre
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marc Hallin & Madan Lal Puri, 1994. "Aligned rank tests for linear models with autocorrelated errors," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2045, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Marc Hallin & Ramon van den Akker & Bas Werker, 2013. "On Quadratic Expansions of Log-Likelihoods and a General Asymptotic Linearity Result," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Marc Hallin, 1986. "Nonstationary q-dependent processes and time-varying moving average models: invertibility properties and the forecasting problem," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2005, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Victor Chernozhukov & Alfred Galichon & Marc Hallin & Marc Henry, 2014. "Monge-Kantorovich Depth, Quantiles, Ranks, and Signs," Papers 1412.8434, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
    5. Victor Chernozhukov & Alfred Galichon & Marc Hallin & Marc Henry, 2014. "Monge-Kantorovich Depth, Quantiles, Ranks, and Signs," Papers 1412.8434, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
    6. Hallin, Marc & La Vecchia, Davide, 2020. "A Simple R-estimation method for semiparametric duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 736-749.
    7. Bernard Garel & Marc Hallin, 1995. "Local asymptotic normality of multivariate ARMA processes with a linear trend," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 47(3), pages 551-579, September.
    8. Marc Hallin, 2017. "On Distribution and Quantile Functions, Ranks and Signs in R_d," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2017-34, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    9. Mukherjee, Kanchan & Bai, Z. D., 2002. "R-estimation in Autoregression with Square-Integrable Score Function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 167-186, April.
    10. Beth Andrews, 2008. "Rank‐based estimation for autoregressive moving average time series models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 51-73, January.
    11. Marc Hallin & Guy Melard, 1988. "Rank-based tests for randomness against first-order serial dependence," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2015, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    12. Mukherjee, Kanchan, 2007. "Generalized R-estimators under conditional heteroscedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 383-415, December.
    13. Hallin, M. & Puri, M. L., 1994. "Aligned Rank Tests for Linear Models with Autocorrelated Error Terms," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 175-237, August.
    14. Marc Hallin & Bas Werker, 2003. "Semiparametric efficiency, distribution-freeness, and invariance," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2119, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    15. Kenneth L. Judd, 1998. "Numerical Methods in Economics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262100711.
    16. Ernst R. Berndt & Bronwyn H. Hall & Robert E. Hall & Jerry A. Hausman, 1974. "Estimation and Inference in Nonlinear Structural Models," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 4, pages 653-665, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Hallin, Marc & La Vecchia, Davide, 2017. "R-estimation in semiparametric dynamic location-scale models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 233-247.
    18. Adelchi Azzalini & Antonella Capitanio, 2003. "Distributions generated by perturbation of symmetry with emphasis on a multivariate skew t‐distribution," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(2), pages 367-389, May.
    19. Marc Hallin & Jean-François Ingenbleek & Madan Lal Puri, 1984. "Linear serial rank tests for randomness against ARMA alternatives," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2167, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    20. Andrews, Beth, 2012. "Rank-Based Estimation For Garch Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(5), pages 1037-1064, October.
    21. Terpstra, Jeffrey T. & McKean, Joseph W. & Naranjo, Joshua D., 2001. "GR-estimates for an autoregressive time series," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 165-172, January.
    22. Delphine Cassart & Marc Hallin & Davy Paindaveine, 2010. "On the estimation of cross-information quantities in rank-based inference," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-010, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guy Melard, 2020. "An Indirect Proof for the Asymptotic Properties of VARMA Model Estimators," Working Papers ECARES 2020-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Hallin, Marc & La Vecchia, Davide, 2020. "A Simple R-estimation method for semiparametric duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 736-749.
    3. Eustasio Del Barrio & Alberto Gonzalez-Sanz & Marc Hallin, 2019. "A Note on the Regularity of Center-Outward Distribution and Quantile Functions," Working Papers ECARES 2019-33, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Hongjian Shi & Marc Hallin & Mathias Drton & Fang Han, 2020. "Rate-Optimality of Consistent Distribution-Free Tests of Independence Based on Center-Outward Ranks and Signs," Working Papers ECARES 2020-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    5. del Barrio, Eustasio & González-Sanz, Alberto & Hallin, Marc, 2020. "A note on the regularity of optimal-transport-based center-outward distribution and quantile functions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hallin, Marc & La Vecchia, Davide, 2017. "R-estimation in semiparametric dynamic location-scale models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 233-247.
    2. Hallin, Marc & La Vecchia, Davide, 2020. "A Simple R-estimation method for semiparametric duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 736-749.
    3. Marc Hallin & Davide La Vecchia, 2014. "Semiparametrically Efficient R-Estimation for Dynamic Location-Scale Models," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-45, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Hallin, M. & Vermandele, C. & Werker, B.J.M., 2003. "Serial and Nonserial Sign-and-Rank Statistics : Asymptotic Representation and Asymptotic Normality," Discussion Paper 2003-23, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    5. Marc Hallin & Hongjian Shi & Mathias Drton & Fang Han, 2021. "Center-Outward Sign- and Rank-Based Quadrant, Spearman, and Kendall Tests for Multivariate Independence," Working Papers ECARES 2021-27, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    6. Hang Liu & Kanchan Mukherjee, 2022. "R-estimators in GARCH models: asymptotics and applications [Rank-based estimation for GARCH processes]," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(1), pages 98-113.
    7. Nabil Azouagh & Said El Melhaoui, 2021. "Detection of EXPAR nonlinearity in the Presence of a Nuisance Unidentified Under the Null Hypothesis," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 83(2), pages 397-429, November.
    8. Hallin, Marc & Paindaveine, Davy, 2005. "Affine-invariant aligned rank tests for the multivariate general linear model with VARMA errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 122-163, March.
    9. Marc Hallin & Bas Werker, 2003. "Semiparametric efficiency, distribution-freeness, and invariance," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/2119, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    10. Marc Hallin & Khalid Rifi, 1997. "A Berry-Esséen Theorem for Serial Rank Statistics," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 49(4), pages 777-799, December.
    11. Garel, Bernard & Hallin, Marc, 2000. "Rank-based partial autocorrelations are not asymptotically distribution-free," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 219-227, April.
    12. Marc Hallin & Catherine Vermandele & Bas J. M. Werker, 2008. "Semiparametrically efficient inference based on signs and ranks for median‐restricted models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(2), pages 389-412, April.
    13. Hongjian Shi & Marc Hallin & Mathias Drton & Fang Han, 2020. "Rate-Optimality of Consistent Distribution-Free Tests of Independence Based on Center-Outward Ranks and Signs," Working Papers ECARES 2020-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    14. Bennala, Nezar & Hallin, Marc & Paindaveine, Davy, 2012. "Pseudo-Gaussian and rank-based optimal tests for random individual effects in large n small T panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 50-67.
    15. Allal, Jelloul & Kaaouachi, Abdelali & Paindaveine, Davy, 2001. "R-estimation for ARMA models," MPRA Paper 21167, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Bramati, Maria Caterina, 2013. "Optimal rank-based tests for block exogeneity in vector autoregressions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 141-162.
    17. Marc Hallin, 2018. "From Mahalanobis to Bregman via Monge and Kantorovich towards a “General Generalised Distance”," Working Papers ECARES 2018-12, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    18. Marc Hallin & Hang Liu, 2022. "Center-outward Rank- and Sign-based VARMA Portmanteau Tests," Working Papers ECARES 2022-27, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    19. Mukherjee, Kanchan & Bai, Z. D., 2002. "R-estimation in Autoregression with Square-Integrable Score Function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 167-186, April.
    20. Marc Hallin & Davide La Vecchia & Hang Liu, 2020. "Rank-Based Testing for Semiparametric VAR Models: a measure transportation approach," Working Papers ECARES 2020-47, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate ranks; Distribution-freeness; Local asymptotic normality; Measure transportation; Quasi likelihood estimation; Skew innovation density;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/294809. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/arulbbe.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Benoit Pauwels (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/arulbbe.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.