IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000102/017701.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Oil booms and subnational public investment: a case-study for Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Jaime Bonet-Morón

    ()

  • Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena

    ()

  • Lucas Marín-Llanes

Abstract

Theoretical and empirical studies on oil price shocks have mainly focused on measuring its relationship with macroeconomic performance in developing countries. However, the literature has not explored causal effects of oil price variations on subnational public investment. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, this paper contributes to the literature in identifying these effects for both, departments and municipalities in Colombia. Our results suggest that the most recent oil boom, brought by the rise in international oil prices, had mostly positive and disproportionate effects of public investment on oil producing departments and municipalities. On one hand, departments prioritized their investments in five sectors: recreation and sports, agriculture, transportation, attention to vulnerable population, and justice. On the other hand, for municipalities, four sectors were the most benefited: institutional strengthening, justice, equipment, and recreation and sports. **** RESUMEN: Gran parte de los estudios teóricos y empíricos sobre choques petroleros se han enfocado en medir su relación con el desempeño macroeconómico en los países en Desarrollo. Sin embargo, estos estudios no han explorado los efectos causales de las variaciones en los precios del petróleo sobre la inversión pública subnacional. Haciendo uso de diferencia-endiferencias, este documento contribuye a la literatura en identificar estos efectos tanto para departamentos como para municipios en Colombia. Los resultados sugieren que el más reciente choque petrolero, generado por el aumento en los precios internacionales del petróleo, tuvo en su mayoría efectos positivos y significativos sobre la inversión pública de departamentos y municipios productores. Por un lado, los departamentos priorizaron sus inversiones en cinco sectores: recreación y deporte, agricultura, transporte, atención a población vulnerable y justicia. Por otro lado, para los municipios los sectores más beneficiados fueron: fortalecimiento institucional, justicia, equipamiento y recreación y deporte.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaime Bonet-Morón & Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena & Lucas Marín-Llanes, 2019. "Oil booms and subnational public investment: a case-study for Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 017701, Banco de la República - Economía Regional.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000102:017701
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repositorio.banrep.gov.co/bitstream/handle/20.500.12134/9786/DTSERU_283.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bonet-Morón, Jaime Alfredo & Pérez-Valbuena, Gerson Javier & Ayala-García, Jhorland, 2016. "Contexto histórico y evolución del SGP en Colombia," Chapters, in: Bonet-Morón, Jaime Alfredo & Galvis-Aponte, Luis Armando (ed.), Sistemas de transferencias subnacionales : lecciones para una reforma en Colombia, chapter 5, pages 83-128, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Joshua D. Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke, 2009. "Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 8769.
    3. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Swaroop, Vinaya & Heng-fu, Zou, 1996. "The composition of public expenditure and economic growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 313-344, April.
    4. Spatafora, Nikola*Warner, Andrew, 1995. "Macroeconomic effects of terms-of-trade shocks : the case of oil-exporting countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1410, The World Bank.
    5. Macklem, R Tiff, 1993. "Terms-of-Trade Disturbances and Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(419), pages 916-936, July.
    6. Ocampo, José Antonio, 2007. "La macroeconomía de la bonanza económica latinoamericana," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    7. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Andrés Velasco, 2012. "Macroeconomic Performance During Commodity Price Booms and Busts," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 60(4), pages 570-599, December.
    8. Fedesarrollo, 2018. "Evaluación de los impactos causados en las regiones productoras de hidrocarburos y minerales con el actual Sistema General de Regalías," Informes de Investigación 017258, Fedesarrollo.
    9. Jakob Haan & Jan Sturm & Bernd Sikken, 1996. "Government capital formation: Explaining the decline," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 132(1), pages 55-74, March.
    10. William Easterly & Timothy Irwin & Luis Servén, 2008. "Walking up the Down Escalator: Public Investment and Fiscal Stability," World Bank Research Observer, World Bank Group, vol. 23(1), pages 37-56, January.
    11. Ocampo José Antonio & Revéiz Edgar, 1979. "Bonanza cafetera y economía concertada," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes - CEDE, July.
    12. Gustavo Adler & Nicolas E Magud, 2013. "Four Decades of Terms-of-Trade Booms; Saving-Investment Patterns and a New Metric of Income Windfall," IMF Working Papers 13/103, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Leonardo Bonilla-Mejía & Iván Higuera-Mendieta, 2017. "Political Alignment in the Time of Weak Parties: Electoral Advantages and Subnational Transfers in Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 015746, Banco de la República - Economía Regional.
    14. Fedesarrollo, 2018. "Evaluación de los impactos causados en las regiones productoras de hidrocarburos y minerales con el actual Sistema General de Regalías," Informes de Investigación 017194, Fedesarrollo.
    15. Aaron Mehrotra & Timo Välilä, 2006. "Public Investment in Europe: Evolution and Determinants in perspective," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 27(4), pages 443-471, December.
    16. Cristina Fernández & Leonardo Villar, 2014. "Bonanzas temporales de recursos: una perspectiva global," Working Papers Series. Documentos de Trabajo 011552, Fedesarrollo.
    17. Cristina Fernández Mejía & Leonardo Villar Gómez, 2014. "Bonanzas temporales de recursos y producción manufacturera: una perspectiva global," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 177-232, julio-dic.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Subnational investment; price shocks; oil booms; inversión subnacional; choques de precios; bonanza petrolera;

    JEL classification:

    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000102:017701. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Banco De La República - Economía Regional). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.