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Credibility and Inflation Targeting in Chile

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  • Claudio Soto
  • Luis F. Céspedes

Abstract

In this paper we present new evidence on the recent changes of the inflationary dynamics for the Chilean economy. We show that price rigidity has increased while the degree indexation based on past inflation has decreased over time. We also show that the passthrough from the exchange rate to traded goods inflation has decreased in recent years. We argue that these changes are related to an enhanced credibility of the monetary policy that has improved the tradeoff faced by the Central Bank. Consistently with this hypothesis, we show that the policy rule that characterizes the behavior of the Central Bank of Chile has become more aggressive in fighting inflation deviations from the target, and also more forward-looking.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudio Soto & Luis F. Céspedes, 2006. "Credibility and Inflation Targeting in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 408, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:408
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    Cited by:

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    2. Michael Bordo & Pierre Siklos, 2014. "Central Bank Credibility, Reputation and Inflation Targeting in Historical Perspective," NBER Working Papers 20693, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner, 2018. "Learning about Commodity Cycles and Saving-Investment Dynamics in a Commodity-Exporting Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(2), pages 205-262, March.
    4. John McDermott & Peter McMenamin, 2008. "Assessing Inflation Targeting in Latin America With a DSGE Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 469, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. García-Cicco, Javier, 2022. "Alternative monetary-policy instruments and limited credibility: An exploration," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    6. Herwartz Helmut & Roestel Jan, 2018. "Local/import – and foreign currency prices: inflation, uncertainty and pass through endogeneity," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(3), pages 1-17, June.
    7. Michael Pedersen, 2016. "Propagation of inflationary shocks in Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(3), pages 004-025, December.
    8. Andrea Giorgio Tosato, 2022. "Considerations on the Monetary Policy Framework of the European Central Bank," CBM Working Papers WP/01/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
    9. Michael Pedersen, 2010. "Propagation of Inflationary Shocks in Chile and an International Comparison of Progagation of Shocks to food and Energy Prices," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 566, Central Bank of Chile.

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