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Energy Saving Innovation, Vintage Capital, and the Green Transition

Author

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  • Christian Keuschnigg
  • Giedrius Kazimieras Stalenis

Abstract

We study a small open economy that must implement an emissions reduction plan and eventually phase out fossil fuel. R&D leads to the design of energy saving new machines. Endogenous scrapping eliminates old inefficient machines. We identify two distortions that delay the adoption and diffusion of energy saving technology: scrapping of old equipment and investment in new machines are both too low. The optimal policy to manage the energy transition thus combines a carbon tax with a profit tax to speed up exit, and an investment subsidy to speed up investment in new equipment. The optimal policy increases capital turnover, the diffusion of energy saving technology, and thereby mitigates the costs of the energy transition. Compared to a policy that exclusively relies on carbon taxes, the optimal policy could reduce the GDP loss of moving to net zero from 7.8 to 6.1% of GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Keuschnigg & Giedrius Kazimieras Stalenis, 2025. "Energy Saving Innovation, Vintage Capital, and the Green Transition," CESifo Working Paper Series 11722, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11722
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    energy saving innovation; vintage capital; emissions reduction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D62 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Externalities
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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