IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bon/boncrc/crctr224_2025_739.html

Do Firms Know What Workers Want?

Author

Listed:
  • Simon Cordes

  • Max Müller

Abstract

Labor supply depends on wages and amenities, and standard models implicitly assume that firms hold accurate beliefs about workers’ amenity valuations. In a survey with firms and workers in Germany, we measure workers’ valuations of amenities and firms’ beliefs about workers’ valuations. We find that firms systematically underestimate workers’ valuations of all amenities. These misperceptions are driven by interpersonal projection: managers project their own preferences—they value amenities less—onto workers. Through the lens of a simple model of imperfect competition, we show that firm misperceptions result in (i) labor shortages and (ii) excess labor costs for biased firms, and increase the market power of unbiased firms. Empirical tests confirm these predictions: a simple calibration suggests that non-providing firms could reduce their labor costs by 5% by providing amenities.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Cordes & Max Müller, 2026. "Do Firms Know What Workers Want?," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_739, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2025_739
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.crctr224.de/research/discussion-papers/archive/dp739
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ignacio Esponda & Demian Pouzo, 2016. "Berk–Nash Equilibrium: A Framework for Modeling Agents With Misspecified Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 1093-1130, May.
    2. Manning, Alan, 2003. "The real thin theory: monopsony in modern labour markets," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 105-131, April.
    3. Benjamin Bushong & Tristan Gagnon-Bartsch, 2024. "Failures in Forecasting: An Experiment on Interpersonal Projection Bias," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(12), pages 8735-8752, December.
    4. Ulrike Malmendier & Geoffrey Tate, 2005. "CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(6), pages 2661-2700, December.
    5. Morchio, Iacopo & Moser, Christian, 2018. "The Gender Pay Gap: Micro Sources and Macro Consequences," MPRA Paper 99276, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Mar 2020.
    6. Christine L Exley & Oliver P Hauser & Molly Moore & John-Henry Pezzuto, 2025. "Believed Gender Differences in Social Preferences," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 140(1), pages 403-458.
    7. Paul Heidhues & Botond Kőszegi & Philipp Strack, 2018. "Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(4), pages 1159-1214, July.
    8. John M. Barron & Mark C. Berger & Dan A. Black, 1999. "Do Workers Pay for On-The-Job Training?," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 34(2), pages 235-252.
    9. Sydnee Caldwell & Ingrid Haegele & Jörg Heining, 2025. "Bargaining and Inequality in the Labor Market," NBER Working Papers 33396, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Burdett, Kenneth & Mortensen, Dale T, 1998. "Wage Differentials, Employer Size, and Unemployment," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(2), pages 257-273, May.
    11. Jason Sockin, 2022. "Show Me the Amenity: Are Higher-Paying Firms Better All Around?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9842, CESifo.
    12. Marta Lachowska & Alexandre Mas & Raffaele Saggio & Stephen A. Woodbury, 2023. "Work Hours Mismatch," NBER Working Papers 31205, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Nicole Maestas & Kathleen J. Mullen & David Powell & Till von Wachter & Jeffrey B. Wenger, 2023. "The Value of Working Conditions in the United States and the Implications for the Structure of Wages," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(7), pages 2007-2047, July.
    14. Zoë Cullen & Bobak Pakzad-Hurson & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2025. "Home Sweet Home: How Much Do Employees Value Remote Work?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 115, pages 276-281, May.
    15. Börschlein, Erik-Benjamin & Bossler, Mario & Popp, Martin, 2024. "Scarce Workers, High Wages?," IZA Discussion Papers 17447, IZA Network @ LISER.
    16. Charles Brown, 1980. "Equalizing Differences in the Labor Market," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 94(1), pages 113-134.
    17. Nicholas Bloom & Ruobing Han & James Liang, 2024. "Hybrid working from home improves retention without damaging performance," Nature, Nature, vol. 630(8018), pages 920-925, June.
    18. Alan Manning & Ted To, 2002. "Oligopsony and Monopsonistic Competition in Labor Markets," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 155-174, Spring.
    19. Drew Fudenberg & Giacomo Lanzani & Philipp Strack, 2021. "Limit Points of Endogenous Misspecified Learning," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1065-1098, May.
    20. Viola Corradini & Lorenzo Lagos & Garima Sharma, 2025. "Collective Bargaining for Women: How Unions Can Create Female-Friendly Jobs," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 140(3), pages 2053-2105.
    21. Erik-Benjamin Borschlein & Mario Bossler & Martin Popp, 2024. "Scarce Workers, High Wages?," Papers 2408.04508, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    22. David Van Dijcke & Florian Gunsilius & Austin Wright, 2024. "Return to Office and the Tenure Distribution," Papers 2405.04352, arXiv.org.
    23. Nina Roussille & Benjamin Scuderi, 2025. "Bidding for Talent: A Test of Conduct in a High-Wage Labor Market," NBER Working Papers 33848, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Peter Andre & Teodora Boneva & Felix Chopra & Armin Falk, 2024. "Globally representative evidence on the actual and perceived support for climate action," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 14(3), pages 253-259, March.
    25. Gregor Jarosch & Laura Pilossoph & Anthony Swaminathan, 2025. "Should Friday be the New Saturday? Hours Worked and Hours Wanted," NBER Working Papers 33577, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Collis, Manuela R. & Van Effenterre, Clémentine, 2025. "Workplace Hostility," IZA Discussion Papers 18302, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Samuel Muehlemann & Paul Ryan & Stefan C. Wolter, 2013. "Monopsony Power, Pay Structure, and Training," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 66(5), pages 1097-1114, October.
    3. Clyde, Alexander, 2025. "Proxy variables and feedback effects in decision making," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 408-429.
    4. Daniel Monte & Roberto Pinheiro, 2021. "Labor market competition over the business cycle," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(4), pages 1593-1615, October.
    5. Benjamin Lochner & Christian Merkl, 2026. "Gender-Specific Application Behaviour, Matching, and the Residual Gender Earnings Gap," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 136(673), pages 97-124.
    6. Benson, Alan, 2013. "Firm-sponsored general education and mobility frictions: Evidence from hospital sponsorship of nursing schools and faculty," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 149-159.
    7. Bensnes, Simon & Hernaes, Øystein & King, Max-Emil M., 2025. "No Payoff from Time Off? Mandated Paid Vacation and Late-Career Employment," IZA Discussion Papers 18121, IZA Network @ LISER.
    8. Cali,Massimiliano & Presidente,Giorgio, 2023. "Product Market Monopolies and Labor Market Monopsonies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10388, The World Bank.
    9. Jackie M.L. Chan & Michael Irlacher & Michael Koch & Luca Macedoni, 2025. "Wage Setting in Multiproduct Firms," Economics working papers 2025-02, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    10. Dami'an Vergara, 2022. "Minimum Wages and Optimal Redistribution," Papers 2202.00839, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    11. J. Aislinn Bohren & Daniel N. Hauser, 2023. "Behavioral Foundations of Model Misspecification," PIER Working Paper Archive 23-007, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    12. Kline, Patrick, 2024. "Firm wage effects," Handbook of Labor Economics,, Elsevier.
    13. Lagos, Lorenzo, 2024. "Union Bargaining Power and the Amenity-Wage Tradeoff," IZA Discussion Papers 17034, IZA Network @ LISER.
    14. Luca Macedoni, 2022. "Monopsonistic competition, trade, and the profit share," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(2), pages 488-515, April.
    15. Hestermann, Nina & Le Yaouanq, Yves, 2018. "It\'s not my Fault! Self-Confidence and Experimentation," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 124, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    16. Ignacio Esponda & Demian Pouzo, 2026. "Learning and Equilibrium under Model Misspecification," Papers 2601.09891, arXiv.org.
    17. Aum, Sangmin & Kim, Bongseop & Lee, Jungmin, 2025. "Why do you like or dislike your job?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    18. He, Kevin & Libgober, Jonathan, 2025. "Misspecified learning and evolutionary stability," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    19. Jan Rouwendal & Jos van Ommeren, 2007. "Recruitment in a Monopsonistic Labour Market: Will Travel Costs be reimbursed?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-044/3, Tinbergen Institute, revised 03 Sep 2008.
    20. Thomas Le Barbanchon & Roland Rathelot & Alexandra Roulet, 2025. "Gender Differences in Job Search: Trading off Commute against Wage," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 136(1), pages 381-426.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J32 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions
    • J42 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Monopsony; Segmented Labor Markets
    • J81 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - Working Conditions
    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2025_739. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CRC Office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.crctr224.de .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.