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Examining Macroprudential Policy through a Microprudential Lens

Author

Listed:
  • Wilmar Cabrera
  • Santiago Gamba
  • Camilo Gómez
  • Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the financial and real effects of macroprudential policies with a new identifying strategy that exploits borrower-specific provisioning levels for each bank. Locally, we compare similar firms just below and above regulatory thresholds established in Colombia during 2008–2018 for the corporate credit portfolio. Our results indicate that the scheme induces banks to increase the provisioning cost of downgraded loans. This implies that, for loans with similar risk but with a discontinuously lower rating, banks offer a lower amount of credit, demand higher quality guarantees, and impose a higher level of provision coverage through the loan-loss given default. To illustrate, a 1 percentage point (pp) increase in the provision-to-credit ratio leads to a reduction in credit growth of up to 15pp and lowers the probability of receiving new credit by up to 11pp. When mapping our results to the real sector, we find that downgraded firms are constrained in their investment decisions and experience a contraction in liabilities, equity, and total assets. **** RESUMEN: Este documento estudia los efectos financieros y reales de la política macroprudencial asociada con el nivel de gasto en provisiones por deudor que debe realizar el sector bancario en Colombia. Por consiguiente, se estudia la cartera de créditos comerciales durante el periodo 2008-2018 y se compara localmente aquellas empresas que se aproximan por arriba y por debajo a los umbrales regulatorios relacionados con el cálculo del gasto en provisiones. Los resultados indican que el esquema de provisiones induce a los bancos a incrementar su gasto en provisiones dirigido a las firmas que presentan una reducción en su calificación. Lo anterior implica que, para créditos con un perfil de riesgo similar, pero con un cambio discontinuo en su calificación, los bancos otorgan un menor monto de crédito, demandan garantías de mejor calidad e imponen una mayor cobertura por provisiones por medio de la medida de pérdida ante incumplimiento. En particular, un aumento de un punto porcentual (pp) en la razón de provisiones a crédito conlleva a una reducción de hasta 15 pp en la tasa de crecimiento del crédito y reduce la probabilidad de acceder a un nuevo crédito en hasta 11 pp. Por su parte, el análisis que vincula estos resultados con las principales variables de desempe˜ño de las firmas sugiere que las firmas que exhiben una reducción en su calificación son posteriormente restringidas en sus decisiones de inversión y experimentan una contracción en sus pasivos, patrimonio y activos.

Suggested Citation

  • Wilmar Cabrera & Santiago Gamba & Camilo Gómez & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2022. "Examining Macroprudential Policy through a Microprudential Lens," Borradores de Economia 1212, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1212
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1212
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Leonardo Villar-Gómez & Javier Gómez & Andrés Murcia Pabón & Wilmar Cabrera & Hernando Vargas, 2023. "The monetary and macroprudential policy framework in Colombia in the last 30 years: lessons learnt and challenges for the future," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Central banking in the Americas: Lessons from two decades, volume 127, pages 87-112, Bank for International Settlements.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Loan provisions; Macroprudential policies; Credit registry; Corporate registry; Panel regression discontinuity; Provisiones; Políticas macroprudenciales; Registros crediticios; Registros corporativos; Regresión discontinua de panel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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