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Evidencia sobre las Desinflaciones: Experiencia Internacional

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  • Carlos Humberto Cardona
  • Adriana Pontón
  • Eduardo Sarmiento

Abstract

En el presente artículo se analizan las políticas desinflacionarias utilizadas para lograr el paso de inflación moderada a inflación de un dígito en nueve países cuya estructura es semejante a la colombiana y cuyo éxito desinflacionario ha sido sostenible. Estos son: Chile, Bolivia, Grecia, España, Portugal, Irlanda, Israel, Nueva Zelandia e Islandia. Además, para cada uno se utilizan dos criterios de análisis: Se identifica un episodio desinflacionario (según metodología de Ball) y se selecciona un año de quiebre en la inflación (según definición de los autores); así, se evalúa el comportamiento de políticas económicas durante el episodio desinflacionario, y antes y después del quiebre. Las políticas evaluadas son: control monetario, contracción de los salarios reales, disminución del déficit fiscal y revaluación del tipo de cambio. También se mide el costo de desinflar en términos del crecimiento del producto. Así mismo, se rozan aspectos de desarrollo institucional importantes en el logro de inflaciones bajas. Se compara el caso colombiano con respecto a estas políticas y se trata de responder porqué Colombia no ha logrado un dígito.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Humberto Cardona & Adriana Pontón & Eduardo Sarmiento, 1998. "Evidencia sobre las Desinflaciones: Experiencia Internacional," Borradores de Economia 102, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:102
    DOI: 10.32468/be.102
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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio Clavijo, 2000. "Reflexiones Sobre Política Monetaria E "Inflación Objetivo" En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 3423, Banco de la Republica.
    2. Sergio Clavijo, 2000. "Reflexiones Sobre Política Monetaria e "Inflación Objetivo" en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 141, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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