IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/141.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Reflexiones Sobre Política Monetaria e "Inflación Objetivo" en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Clavijo

Abstract

El propósito de este documento es examinar la coyuntura macroeconómica con el fin de replantear una estrategia monetaria que pueda mantener inflaciones de un dígito, cuando quiera que la actividad económica se recupere, la tasa de desempleo regrese a sus niveles de largo plazo y se logre superar la debilidad del sistema financiero. Una buena opción es la profundizar el llamado sistema de "inflación objetivo" (inflation targeting),aprovechando la experiencia que han ganado en este frente países desarrollados (como Gran Bretaña o Canadá) o inclusive economías emergentes (Como Chile o Israel) a lo largo de los años noventa. Una condición básica para la aplicación de esta estrategia es romper la "dependencia fiscal" que ha mostrado el manejo monetario en los últimos años, a lo cual contribuirá la implantación exitosa del programa económico acordado con el Fondo Monetario Internacional. Hacia el futuro, la política monetaria y crediticia debe verse repotenciada gracias a la reciente adopción del régimen de flotación cambiaria.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Clavijo, 2000. "Reflexiones Sobre Política Monetaria e "Inflación Objetivo" en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 141, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:141
    DOI: 10.32468/be.141
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.141
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/be.141?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. GRECO (Grupo de Estudios del Crecimi, 1999. "El Crecimiento Económico Colombiano En El Siglo Xx : Aspectos Globales," Borradores de Economia 2479, Banco de la Republica.
    2. Martha Misas A. & Enrique López E. & Luis Fernando Melo V., 1999. "La inflación desde una perspectiva monetaria: un modelo P* para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 0(35), pages 5-53, June.
    3. Mr. Esteban Jadresic, 1999. "Inflation Targeting and Output Stability," IMF Working Papers 1999/061, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Rudiger Dornbusch & Stanly Fischer, 1992. "Inflación moderada," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 11(21), pages 7-68, June.
    5. Guy Debelle & Mr. Miguel A Savastano & Mr. Paul R Masson & Mr. Sunil Sharma, 1998. "Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Issues 1998/005, International Monetary Fund.
    6. William Poole, 1999. "Monetary policy rules?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 3-12.
    7. Carlos Humberto Cardona & Adriana Pontón & Eduardo Sarmiento, 1998. "Evidencia Sobre Las Desinflaciones: Experiencia Internacional," Borradores de Economia 2650, Banco de la Republica.
    8. Alan S. Blinder, 1999. "Central Banking in Theory and Practice," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262522608, April.
    9. Arturo Galindo, 1993. "Una nota sobre la relevancia del control monetario en procesos de estabilización," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 12(24), pages 73-88, December.
    10. Martha Misas & Rodrigo Suescún, 1993. "Funciones de demanda de dinero y el comportamiento estacional del mercado monetario," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 12(23), pages 55-79, June.
    11. Pierre L. Siklos, 1999. "Inflation-target design: changing inflation performance and persistence in industrial countries," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 46-58.
    12. Stephen K. McNees, 1987. "Prospective nominal GNP targeting: an alternative framework for monetary policy," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Sep, pages 3-9.
    13. Walsh, Carl E., 1993. "Central bank strategies, credibility, and independence : A review essay," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 287-302, November.
    14. Guy Debelle & Miguel A Savastano & Paul R Masson & Sunil Sharma, 1998. "Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Issues 15, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Mr. Henry Ma, 1998. "Inflation, Uncertainty, and Growth in Colombia," IMF Working Papers 1998/161, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Paul R. Krugman, 1998. "It's Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 29(2), pages 137-206.
    17. William J. McDonough, 1994. "An independent central bank in a democratic country: the Federal Reserve experience," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 19(Spr), pages 1-6.
    18. Frederic S. Mishkin & Adam S. Posen, 1997. "Inflation targeting: lessons from four countries," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 3(Aug), pages 9-110.
    19. Sergio Clavijo Vergara & Hernando Jose Gomez Restrepo, 1988. "Seleccion Y Control De Agregados Monetarios Optimos," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 7(14), pages 39-64, December.
    20. Svensson, Lars E O, 1999. "Price-Level Targeting versus Inflation Targeting: A Free Lunch?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 31(3), pages 277-295, August.
    21. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
    22. International Monetary Fund, 1998. "Inflation Targeting As a Framework for Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Issues 1998/006, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Urrutia, Miguel & Hofstetter, Marc & Hamann, Franz, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Colombia, 2002-2012," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 6394, Inter-American Development Bank.
    2. Sergio Parra Cely, 2009. "Costos de inflación en un modelo de búsqueda monetaria con formación endógena de precios: el caso colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 27(59), pages 46-82, June.
    3. Mesa Callejas, Ramón Javier & Rhenals M., Remberto & Londono T., Carlos Mario, 2003. "La desinflación reciente en Colombia y los riesgos de la política monetaria," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, February.
    4. Andrés Felipe Giraldo Palomino, 2008. "Aversión a la inflación y regla de Taylor en Colombia 1994-2005," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    5. Vittorio Corbo & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2001. "Inflation Targeting in Latin America," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 105, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Hernando Vargas, 2008. "The transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Colombia: major changes and current features," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 183-211, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Sergio Clavijo, 2000. "Hacia la Multibanca en Colombia: Retos y 'Retazos' Financieros," Borradores de Economia 150, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    8. Andrés Felipe Giraldo Palomino, 2010. "Aspectos institucionales de la Banca Central en Colombia (1963-2007)," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sergio Clavijo, 2000. "Reflexiones Sobre Política Monetaria E "Inflación Objetivo" En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 3423, Banco de la Republica.
    2. Andrés Felipe Giraldo Palomino, 2008. "Aversión a la inflación y regla de Taylor en Colombia 1994-2005," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    3. Sergio Clavijo, 2004. "Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies in Colombia: Progress and Challenges," IMF Working Papers 2004/166, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Aaron Drew, 2002. "Lessons from Inflation Targeting in New Zealand," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Norman Loayza & Raimundo Soto & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Editor) (ed.),Inflation Targeting: Desing, Performance, Challenges, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 12, pages 501-538, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Batini, Nicoletta & Yates, Anthony, 2003. "Hybrid Inflation and Price-Level Targeting," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(3), pages 283-300, June.
    6. Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 891-910, June.
    7. Halim Alamsyah & Charles Joseph & Juda Agung & Doddy Zulverdy, 2001. "Towards Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Indonesia," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 309-324.
    8. Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller & Alexandros Panethimitakis & Athanassios Vamvakidis, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Evidence from Aggregate European Data," Working papers 2005-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    9. Batini, Nicoletta & Harrison, Richard & Millard, Stephen P., 2003. "Monetary policy rules for an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11-12), pages 2059-2094, September.
    10. McCallum, Bennett T, 2000. "Theoretical Analysis Regarding a Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(4), pages 870-904, November.
    11. Hernán Rincón & Diego Rodríguez & Jorge Toro & Santiago Téllez, 2017. "FISCO: modelo fiscal para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(83), pages 161-187, June.
    12. Yvan Lengwiler & Athanasios Orphanides, 2002. "Optimal Discretion," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 104(2), pages 261-276, June.
    13. J. S. Ferris & J. A. Galbraith, 2003. "Indirect convertibility as a money rule for inflation targeting," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 753-761.
    14. Jenish Nurbek & Kyrgyzbaeva Asel, 2012. "On the Possibility of Inflation Targeting in Kyrgyzstan," EERC Working Paper Series 12/10e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    15. Michael Woodford, 1999. "Optimal Monetary Policy Inertia," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 67(s1), pages 1-35.
    16. Galí, Jordi, 2002. "New Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 3210, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Moretti, Laura, 2014. "Inflation targeting and product market deregulation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 372-386.
    18. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Empirical Evidence for the European Union," IMF Working Papers 2005/089, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Balima, Hippolyte W. & Kilama, Eric G. & Tapsoba, René, 2020. "Inflation targeting: Genuine effects or publication selection bias?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    20. Lecarpentier-Moyal, Sylvie & Payelle, Nathalie, 2001. "Règle monétaire et cible de prévisions d’inflation," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 77(4), pages 531-568, décembre.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Classification- JEL: Política Monetaria (E52); Banca Central (E58); Inflación (E31).;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.