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Global Warming and German Agriculture

This study uses the concept of shadow prices for measuring the impacts of climate change. Estimation of a restricted profit function rather than a cost or a production function increases the explanatory power of the agroclimate approach because of an endogenous output structure. Using micro-based panel data on Western German farmers, the results im-ply that the agricul-tural production process is significantly influenced by climate conditions. By linking this model with a climate-change scenario, a remarkable positive shadow value is found for the German agricultural sector. Interestingly, the spatial distribution of the gains shows no concentration on those regions, which currently suffer from insufficient temperature. Finally, the importance of an endogenous output structure is confirmed by the finding that the de-sired product mix will drastically change.

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Paper provided by Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics in its series Discussion Paper Series with number 185.

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Length: pages
Date of creation: Mar 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:aug:augsbe:0185
Contact details of provider: Postal: Universitaetsstrasse 16, D-86159 Augsburg, Germany
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  1. William R. Cline, 1992. "Economics of Global Warming, The," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 39.
  2. W. Erwin Diewert & T.J. Wales, 1989. "Flexible Functional Forms and Global Curvature Conditions," NBER Technical Working Papers 0040, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Mendelsohn, Robert & Nordhaus, William D & Shaw, Daigee, 1994. "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 753-71, September.
  4. Dixon, Bruce L. & Hollinger, Steven E. & Garcia, Philip & Tirupattur, Viswanath, 1994. "Estimating Corn Yield Response Models To Predict Impacts Of Climate Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(01), July.
  5. Livernois, John R & Ryan, David L, 1989. "Testing for Non-jointness in Oil and Gas Exploration: A Variable Profit Function Approach," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 30(2), pages 479-504, May.
  6. Beach, Robert H. & Thomson, Allison M. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2010. "Climate Change Impacts On Us Agriculture," Proceedings Issues, 2010: Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security, June 2010, Stuttgart- Hohenheim, Germany 91393, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
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