IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2603.10690.html

When David becomes Goliath: Repo dealer-driven bond mispricing

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Canon
  • Eddie Gerba
  • Jozef Barunik

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of funding market frictions on bond prices and market-wide liquidity. Using proprietary transaction-level data on all gilt-backed repo and reverse-repo trades, we demonstrate how the market power of individual dealers and their linkages generate frictions. Specifically, we show that frictions related to market power account for between 0.5 and 1.3 percentage points of bond yield deviation, while the transmission of heterogeneously persistent shocks between dealers accounts for between 2 and 4 percentage points of yield deviation.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Canon & Eddie Gerba & Jozef Barunik, 2026. "When David becomes Goliath: Repo dealer-driven bond mispricing," Papers 2603.10690, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.10690
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.10690
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andreas Schrimpf & Hyun Song Shin & Vladyslav Sushko, 2020. "Leverage and margin spirals in fixed income markets during the Covid-19 crisis," BIS Bulletins 2, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Jamie Coen & Patrick Coen & Anne-Caroline Hüser, 2024. "Collateral demand in wholesale funding markets," Bank of England working papers 1082, Bank of England.
    3. Kadiyala, K Rao & Karlsson, Sune, 1997. "Numerical Methods for Estimation and Inference in Bayesian VAR-Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 99-132, March-Apr.
    4. Nymand-Andersen, Per, 2018. "Yield curve modelling and a conceptual framework for estimating yield curves: evidence from the European Central Bank’s yield curves," Statistics Paper Series 27, European Central Bank.
    5. Robert Clark & Jean-François Houde & Jakub Kastl, 2021. "The Industrial Organization of Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 29183, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bassi, Claudio & Behn, Markus & Grill, Michael & Waibel, Martin, 2023. "Window dressing of regulatory metrics: evidence from repo markets," Working Paper Series 2771, European Central Bank.
    7. Gregory S. Crawford & Nicola Pavanini & Fabiano Schivardi, 2018. "Asymmetric Information and Imperfect Competition in Lending Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(7), pages 1659-1701, July.
    8. Han, Song & Nikolaou, Kleopatra & Tase, Manjola, 2022. "Trading relationships in secured markets: Evidence from triparty repos," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    9. van Horen, Neeltje & Kotidis, Antonios, 2018. "Repo market functioning: The role of capital regulation," CEPR Discussion Papers 13090, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. John Haltiwanger & Robert Kulick & Chad Syverson, 2018. "Misallocation Measures: The Distortion That Ate the Residual," NBER Working Papers 24199, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Hüser, Anne-Caroline & Lepore, Caterina & Veraart, Luitgard Anna Maria, 2024. "How does the repo market behave under stress? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    12. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    13. Nicola Anderson & John Sleath, 2001. "New estimates of the UK real and nominal yield curves," Bank of England working papers 126, Bank of England.
    14. Darrell Duffie, 2012. "Over-The-Counter Markets," Introductory Chapters, in: Dark Markets: Asset Pricing and Information Transmission in Over-the-Counter Markets, Princeton University Press.
    15. Xavier Gabaix & Ralph S. J. Koijen, 2024. "Granular Instrumental Variables," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(7), pages 2274-2303.
    16. Mark Carlson & Sergio Correia & Stephan Luck, 2022. "The Effects of Banking Competition on Growth and Financial Stability: Evidence from the National Banking Era," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(2), pages 462-520.
    17. Duffie, Darrell & Malamud, Semyon & Manso, Gustavo, 2015. "Reprint of: Information percolation in segmented markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 158(PB), pages 838-869.
    18. Omar Barbiero & Falk Bräuning & Gustavo Joaquim & Hillary Stein, 2024. "Dealer Risk Limits and Currency Returns," Working Papers 24-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    19. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    20. Sriya Anbil & Zeynep Senyuz, 2018. "The Regulatory and Monetary Policy Nexus in the Repo Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Weinberger, Ariel, 2020. "Markups and misallocation with evidence from exchange rate shocks," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    22. Andreea Bicu & Louisa Chen & David Elliott, 2017. "The leverage ratio and liquidity in the gilt and repo markets," Bank of England working papers 690, Bank of England.
    23. Huber, Amy Wang, 2023. "Market power in wholesale funding: A structural perspective from the triparty repo market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(2), pages 235-259.
    24. Baruník, Jozef & Ellington, Michael, 2024. "Persistence in financial connectedness and systemic risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 393-407.
    25. Falk Bräuning & Falko Fecht, 2017. "Relationship Lending in the Interbank Market and the Price of Liquidity," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(1), pages 33-75.
    26. Robin Greenwood & Dimitri Vayanos, 2014. "Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(3), pages 663-713.
    27. Jennie Bai & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Charles†Henri Weymuller, 2018. "Measuring Liquidity Mismatch in the Banking Sector," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(1), pages 51-93, February.
    28. Steven T. Berry, 1994. "Estimating Discrete-Choice Models of Product Differentiation," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 25(2), pages 242-262, Summer.
    29. Coen, Jamie & Coen, Patrick & Hüser, Anne-Caroline, 2024. "Collateral Demand in Wholesale Funding Markets," TSE Working Papers 130323, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    30. Andrea L. Eisfeldt & Bernard Herskovic & Shuo Liu, 2024. "Interdealer Price Dispersion and Intermediary Capacity," NBER Working Papers 32998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Jeremy C. Stein & Jonathan Wallen, 2025. "The Imperfect Intermediation of Money‐Like Assets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 80(6), pages 3185-3221, December.
    32. Jozef Baruník & Tomáš Křehlík, 2018. "Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 271-296.
    33. Loriano Mancini & Angelo Ranaldo & Jan Wrampelmeyer, 2016. "The Euro Interbank Repo Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(7), pages 1747-1779.
    34. Petrova, Katerina, 2019. "A quasi-Bayesian local likelihood approach to time varying parameter VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 286-306.
    35. Li, Yi, 2021. "Reciprocal lending relationships in shadow banking," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 600-619.
    36. Eisenschmidt, Jens & Ma, Yiming & Zhang, Anthony Lee, 2024. "Monetary policy transmission in segmented markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hermes, Felix & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2025. "The international dimension of repo: five new facts," Working Paper Series 3065, European Central Bank.
    2. Carlos Cañón & Jorge Florez-Acosta & Karoll Gómez, 2023. "The effects of two-way lending between financial conglomerates in bilateral repo markets," Borradores de Economia 1246, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Sila, Jan & Kocenda, Evzen & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Kukacka, Jiri, 2024. "Good vs. bad volatility in major cryptocurrencies: The dichotomy and drivers of connectedness," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    4. Eisenschmidt, Jens & Ma, Yiming & Zhang, Anthony Lee, 2024. "Monetary policy transmission in segmented markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    5. Cristina Di Luigi & Antonio Perrella & Alessio Ruggieri, 2024. "The fundamental role of the repo market and central clearing," Mercati, infrastrutture, sistemi di pagamento (Markets, Infrastructures, Payment Systems) 48, Bank of Italy, Directorate General for Markets and Payment System.
    6. Baruník, Jozef & Bevilacqua, Mattia & Faff, Robert, 2024. "Dynamic industry uncertainty networks and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    7. Albrecht, Peter & Kočenda, Evžen & de Oliveira, Alexandre Silva & Ceretta, Paulo Sergio & Drábek, Michal, 2025. "Event-driven changes in connectedness among commodities and commodity currencies: A quantile, network and probabilistic analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    8. Umar, Zaghum & Iqbal, Najaf & Teplova, Tamara & Tan, Duojiao, 2024. "Dynamic impact of the US yield curve on green bonds: Navigating through recent crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Hüser, Anne-Caroline & Lepore, Caterina & Veraart, Luitgard Anna Maria, 2024. "How does the repo market behave under stress? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    10. Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2021. "Volatility Shocks and Currency Returns," Papers 2101.09738, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    11. Andreeva, Desislava & Samarina, Anna & Faria, Lara Sousa, 2025. "Leverage actually: the impact on banks’ borrowing costs in euro area money markets," Working Paper Series 3016, European Central Bank.
    12. Jonathan Acosta-Smith & Jozef Barunik & Eddie Gerba & Petros Katsoulis, 2024. "Moderation or indulgence? Effects of bank distribution restrictions during stress," Bank of England working papers 1053, Bank of England.
    13. Jamie Coen & Patrick Coen & Anne-Caroline Hüser, 2024. "Collateral demand in wholesale funding markets," Bank of England working papers 1082, Bank of England.
    14. Boubekeur Baba, 2024. "Spillovers of good and bad volatility in Asian emerging markets: insights from global and regional perspectives," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(4), pages 1233-1274, December.
    15. Huber, Amy Wang, 2023. "Market power in wholesale funding: A structural perspective from the triparty repo market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(2), pages 235-259.
    16. Sockin, Michael, 2025. "Informational frictions in funding and credit markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    17. Miklesh Yadav & Nandita Mishra & Shruti Ashok, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness of green bond with financial markets of European countries under OECD economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 609-631, February.
    18. Gabauer, David & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Stenfors, Alexis, 2023. "Model-free connectedness measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    19. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2020. "Dynamic frequency connectedness between oil and natural gas volatilities," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 181-189.
    20. Siddique, Md Abubakar & Nobanee, Haitham & Karim, Sitara & Naz, Farah, 2022. "Investigating the role of metal and commodity classes in overcoming resource destabilization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.10690. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.