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Modeling The Effects Of Pasture Expansion On Emissions From Land-Use Change


  • Dumortier, Jerome
  • Hayes, Dermot J.
  • Carriquiry, Miguel A.
  • Dong, Fengxia
  • Du, Xiaodong
  • Elobeid, Amani E.
  • Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
  • Mulik, Kranti


We present a global agricultural greenhouse gas model that assesses emissions from land-use change. In addition to evaluating shifts in and out of crop production, we develop a pasture model to assess extensification and intensification of global livestock production based on herd size and stocking rate. We apply the model to a scenario that introduces a tax on me-thane emissions from cattle in the United States. The resulting expansion of pasture in the rest of the world leads to substantially higher emissions than without the tax. The yearly average emissions from the tax are 260 metric tons of CO2-equivalent.

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  • Dumortier, Jerome & Hayes, Dermot J. & Carriquiry, Miguel A. & Dong, Fengxia & Du, Xiaodong & Elobeid, Amani E. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Mulik, Kranti, 2010. "Modeling The Effects Of Pasture Expansion On Emissions From Land-Use Change," 2010: Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security, June 2010, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany 95944, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:iatr10:95944
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.95944

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jacinto F. Fabiosa & John C. Beghin & Fengxia Dong & JAmani Elobeid & Simla Tokgoz & Tun-Hsiang Yu, 2010. "Land Allocation Effects of the Global Ethanol Surge: Predictions from the International FAPRI Model," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 86(4), pages 687-706.
    2. Hayes, Dermot J. & Babcock, Bruce A. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Tokgoz, Simla & Elobeid, Amani E. & Yu, Tun-Hsiang (Edward) & Dong, Fengxia & Hart, Chad E. & Chavez, Eddie C. & Pan, Suwen & Carriquiry, M, 2009. "Biofuels: Potential Production Capacity, Effects on Grain and Livestock Sectors, and Implications for Food Prices and Consumers," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(2), April.
    3. Thornton, Philip K. & Herrero, Mario, 2010. "The inter-linkages between rapid growth in livestock production, climate change, and the impacts on water resources, land use, and deforestation," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5178, The World Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Amani E. Elobeid & Miguel A. Carriquiry & Jacinto F. Fabiosa, 2012. "Land-Use Change And Greenhouse Gas Emissions In The Fapri-Card Model System: Addressing Bias And Uncertainty," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1-26.
    2. Nigel Key & Gregoire Tallard, 2012. "Mitigating methane emissions from livestock: a global analysis of sectoral policies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(2), pages 387-414, May.

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    More about this item


    Land Economics/Use;

    JEL classification:

    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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