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The Planting Real Option in Cash Rent Valuation

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  • Du, Xiaodong
  • Hennessy, David A.

Abstract

After entering into farmland rental contracts in the fall, a tenant farmer has the planting flexibility to choose between corn and soybeans. Failure to account for this switching option will bias estimates of what farmers should pay to rent land. Applying contingent claims analysis methods, this study explicitly derives the real option value function. Comparative statics with respect to the volatilities of underlying state variables and their correlations are derived and discussed. Dynamic hedging deltas in this real option context are also developed. Monte Carlo simulation results show that the average cash rent valuation for the real option approach is 11% higher than that for the conventional net present value (NPV) method. The simulated dynamic hedging deltas are shown to differ from the ones implied by the NPV method.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Xiaodong & Hennessy, David A., 2008. "The Planting Real Option in Cash Rent Valuation," Hebrew University of Jerusalem Archive 6307, Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:hebarc:6307
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.6307
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    4. Miao, Ruiqing & Hennessy, David A. & Feng, Hongli, 2016. "The Effects of Crop Insurance Subsidies and Sodsaver on Land-Use Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(2), May.
    5. David Ubilava, 2012. "Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean‐to‐Corn Price Ratio: A Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 29-41, January.
    6. Miao, Ruiqing & Khanna, Madhu, "undated". "The Biomass Crop Assistance Program: Critical, Notional, or Distortional Support for Cellulosic Biofuels?," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205818, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    9. Mohit Anand & Ruiqing Miao & Madhu Khanna, 2019. "Adopting bioenergy crops: Does farmers’ attitude toward loss matter?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(4), pages 435-450, July.

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    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture

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