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Trade diversion and high food prices - The impact of the Russian pig meat import ban

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  • Djuric, Ivan
  • Götz, Linde
  • Glauben, Thomas

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the impact of the Russian ban on import of pig meat originating in the EU on the domestic pig meat price developments in Russia. We use a regime-switching price transmission model in order to identify possible changes in the long-run equilibrium between the pig meat prices of Russia and its main non-EU trading partners. Our results indicate the reduction of transaction costs in pig meat trade between Russia and its main non-EU trading partners, followed by the increase in transmission of price changes in the long-run. Though, our results indicate completely opposite results concerning domestic price relations between wholesale and end consumer pig meat prices in Russia. Overall, faced with the scarcity of pig meat on the domestic market, Russian consumers bear the biggest burden from the ban in the medium term by being faced with the significant increase in end consumer pig meat prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Djuric, Ivan & Götz, Linde & Glauben, Thomas, 2015. "Trade diversion and high food prices - The impact of the Russian pig meat import ban," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205330, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea15:205330
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205330
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ivan Djuric & Linde Götz & Thomas Glauben, 2015. "Are Export Restrictions an Effective Instrument to Insulate Domestic Prices Against Skyrocketing World Market Prices? The Wheat Export Ban in Serbia," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(2), pages 215-228, April.
    2. Will Martin & Kym Anderson, 2012. "Export Restrictions and Price Insulation During Commodity Price Booms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(2), pages 422-427.
    3. Götz, L. & Djuric, I. & Glauben, T., 2015. "Price Damping and Price Insulating Effects of Wheat Export Restrictions in Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 50, March.
    4. Götz, Linde & Glauben, Thomas & Brümmer, Bernhard, 2013. "Wheat export restrictions and domestic market effects in Russia and Ukraine during the food crisis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 214-226.
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    Cited by:

    1. Banse, Martin & Duric, Ivan & Götz, Linde & Laquai, Verena, 2019. "From the Russian food import ban to free trade from Lisbon to Vladivostok - will farmers benefit?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(4), pages 20-31.
    2. Götz, Linde & Jaghdani, Tinoush Jamali, 2017. "Russia’S Agricultural Import Substitution Policy: Price Volatility Effects On The Pork Supply Chain," 57th Annual Conference, Weihenstephan, Germany, September 13-15, 2017 262003, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Security and Poverty; International Relations/Trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being
    • P22 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Prices
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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