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Trade Diversion and High Food Prices: The Impact of the Russian Pig Meat Import Ban

Author

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  • Djuric, Ivan
  • Götz, Linde
  • Glauben, Thomas

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the impact of the Russian ban on import of pig meat originating in the EU on the domestic pig meat price developments in Russia. We use a regime-switching price transmission model in order to identify possible changes in the long-run equilibrium between the pig meat prices of Russia and its main non-EU trading partners. Our results indicate the reduction of transaction costs in pig meat trade between Russia and its main non-EU trading partners, followed by the increase in transmission of price changes in the long-run. Though, our results indicate completely opposite results concerning domestic price relations between wholesale and end consumer pig meat prices in Russia. Overall, faced with the scarcity of pig meat on the domestic market, Russian consumers bear the biggest burden from the ban in the medium term by being faced with the significant increase in end consumer pig meat prices.
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Suggested Citation

  • Djuric, Ivan & Götz, Linde & Glauben, Thomas, 2015. "Trade Diversion and High Food Prices: The Impact of the Russian Pig Meat Import Ban," 2015: Trade and Societal Well-Being, December 13-15, 2015, Clearwater Beach, Florida 229240, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iats15:229240
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.229240
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    Cited by:

    1. Banse, Martin & Duric, Ivan & Götz, Linde & Laquai, Verena, 2019. "From the Russian food import ban to free trade from Lisbon to Vladivostok - will farmers benefit?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(4), pages 20-31.
    2. Götz, Linde & Jaghdani, Tinoush Jamali, "undated". "Russia’S Agricultural Import Substitution Policy: Price Volatility Effects On The Pork Supply Chain," 57th Annual Conference, Weihenstephan, Germany, September 13-15, 2017 262003, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being
    • P22 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Prices
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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