Report NEP-MAC-2025-11-17

This is the archive for NEP-MAC, a report on new working papers in the area of Macroeconomics. Soumitra Kumar Mallick issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

Subscribe to this report: email, RSS, or Mastodon, or Bluesky.

Other reports in NEP-MAC

The following items were announced in this report:

• Junming Chen, 2025, "Monetary Policy, Financing Constraints, and Rational Asset Price Bubbles," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 25/04, Nov.
• James Morley & Jieying Zhang, 2025, "Is Inflation Driven by Aggregate or Sectoral Output Gaps?," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-58, Nov.
• Gabriele Guaitoli, 2025, "Modelling the Aggregate Effects of Housing Supply Policies," Working Papers, Department of Applied Economics at Universitat Autonoma of Barcelona, number wpdea2516, Nov.
• Nollenberger, Jeremiah, 2025, "Hands tied: Are some institutional arrangements more counter-cyclical?," ifso working paper series, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute for Socioeconomics (ifso), number 56.
• Takeki Sunakawa, 2025, "Fiscal Inflation in Japan: The Role of Unfunded Fiscal Shocks," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-14, Oct.
• Corsetti, G. & Lloyd, S. & Marin, E. & Ostry, D., 2025, "U.S. Risk and Treasury Convenience," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2570, Sep.
• Jakob Kozak & Hannah Salzberger & Wolfgang Schäfers, 2025, "Physical Climate Risk in Commercial Real Estate," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_141, Jan.
• -, 2025, "United States economic outlook: 2024 year-in-review and first half of 2025," Oficina de la CEPAL en Washington (Estudios e Investigaciones), Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 82513, Oct.
• Yukihiko Funaki & Yukio Koriyama & Satoshi Nakada & Yuki Tamura, 2025, "Characterizing the ELS Values with Fixed-Population Invariance Axioms," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.04996, Nov.
• Beznoska, Martin & Hentze, Tobias, 2025, "Stellungnahme zum Antrag "NRW muss funktionieren - Investitionsstau in NRW angehen": Antrag der Fraktion der SPD im Landtag Nordrhein-Westfalen (Drucksache 18/14010)," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 52/2025.
• Janet Currie & Lucy G. Hackett & Fernanda Marquez-Padilla, 2025, "Does Public Health Insurance Cause Crowding Into Public Facilities and Informality? The Case of Seguro Popular," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34465, Nov.
• Adelaide Baronchelli & Alessandra Foresta & Roberto Ricciuti & Flavio Santi & Tadele Tefera, 2025, "Air Supremacy Is Not Enough: The Effect of Drone and Air Strikes on Terrorist Attacks in Somalia and Yemen," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12242.
• Andrée De Serres & Hélène Sicotte & Cynthia Aubert, 2025, "Building affordability over time: a study of three innovative nonprofit organizations on off-market housing in Montreal (Quebec, Canada)," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_112, Jan.
• Jeremy Gabe & John Demas, 2025, "Financial Security or Money Trap? An ex post financial evaluation of repeat sale residential transactions in the USA," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_191, Jan.
• Bruno Fava, 2025, "Training and Testing with Multiple Splits: A Central Limit Theorem for Split-Sample Estimators," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.04957, Nov, revised Nov 2025.
• Palma, J. G., 2025, "Latin America: how its neo-liberal reforms led to a rentier trilogy of high market inequality, mediocre investment rates and collapsing productivity growth. How to fix a system with so little entropy?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2572, Oct.
• Aimable Nsabimana & Michael Kilumelume, 2025, "Health pandemic, job losses and recovery in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER), number wp-2025-77.
• Marek Sedivy, 2025, "Life-cycle Consumption Expenditure and Inequality," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2025/25, Nov, revised Nov 2025.
• Luo, Xubei & Rajasekaran, Arvind Balaji & Scruggs, Andrew Conner, 2025, "Monitoring Global Aid Flows : A Novel Approach Using Large Language Models," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 11248, Nov.
• Kohaut, Susanne & Möller, Iris & Oberfichtner, Michael, 2025, "Gender-Leadership-Gap in Deutschland: Frauen besetzen weniger als ein Drittel der obersten Führungspositionen (Gender-Leadership-Gap in Germany: Women hold less than one-third of top leadership positions)," IAB-Kurzbericht, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], number 202524, Nov, DOI: 10.48720/IAB.KB.2524.
• Andreas Dibiasi & Heiner Mikosch & Samad Sarferaz & Armin Steinbach, 2025, "Fiscal Responses to Monetary Policy: Insights From a Survey of Government Officials," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12247.
• Juan José Víquez-Rodríguez & Laura Campos-Quesada & Isaac Zúñiga-Arias, 2025, "Term Structure of Interest Rates in Costa Rican Colones (Zero-Coupon Curve): Methodology and Derivation of Forward Rates and the Exchange Risk Premium," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 2508, Nov.
• Zerres, Christopher & Seitz, Jürgen, 2025, "Praxisreport KI-Content-Analyse: Anwendung, Prozessreife und Investitionsperspektiven," Working Papers for Marketing & Management, Offenburg University, Department of Media and Information, number 84, DOI: 10.48584/opus-11545.
• Diego Comin & Robert C. Johnson & Callum Jones, 2025, "Supply Chain Constraints and Inflation," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-15, Oct.
• John Armstrong & Cristin Buescu & James Dalby & Rohan Hobbs, 2025, "Machine-learning a family of solutions to an optimal pension investment problem," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.07045, Nov.
• Assenza, Tiziana & Huber, Stefanie & Mogilevskaja, Anna & Schmidt, Tobias, 2025, "When Wording Changes What We Find: The Impact of Inflation Expectations on Spending," TSE Working Papers, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), number 25-1686, Nov.
• Heng-fu Zou, 2025, "The Republic of Entrepreneurs: Letters, Science, and the Civic Mechanics of Modern Prosperity," CEMA Working Papers, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics, number 798, Nov.
• Salahodjaev, Raufhon, 2025, "Globalization and life satisfaction- evidence from Europe and Central Asia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125959, May.
• Purba Banerjee & Srikanth Iyer & Shashi Jain, 2025, "Robust Hedging of path-dependent options using a min-max algorithm," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.00781, Nov.
• Heng-fu Zou, 2025, "The Republic of Entrepreneurs: A Global History of Discovery, Diffusion, and Growth," CEMA Working Papers, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics, number 801, Nov.
• Höfelmann, Ludo & Huijgen, Timo, 2025, "Uitval zonder diploma: Aanleiding, Kansen en Toekomstintenties 2024," ROA Fact Sheets, Maastricht University, Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market (ROA), number 005, Nov, DOI: 10.26481/umarof.2025005.
• Hwang, Sunjoo, 2025, "The role of capital structure in real estate project financing: Risk, cost, and policy implications," KDI Focus, Korea Development Institute (KDI), number 145, DOI: 10.22740/kdi.focus.e.2025.145.
• Niens, Christine, 2024, "Equality in the labour market? The perspective of non-family permanently employed women and female apprentices in agriculture," GEWISOLA 64th Annual Conference, Giessen, Germany, September 25–27, 2024, GEWISOLA, number 364751, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.364751.
• So-Yoon Cho & Jin-Young Kim & Kayoung Ban & Hyeng Keun Koo & Hyun-Gyoon Kim, 2025, "Diffolio: A Diffusion Model for Multivariate Probabilistic Financial Time-Series Forecasting and Portfolio Construction," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.07014, Nov.
• Bekkers, Eddy & Yilmaz, Ayse Nihal & Métivier, Jeanne & Tresa, Enxhi & Iunius, Lory & Xu, Ankai, 2025, "The impact of decarbonization on trade," WTO Staff Working Papers, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division, number ERSD-2025-08.
• Erhan Bayraktar & Qi Feng & Zecheng Zhang & Zhaoyu Zhang, 2025, "Deep Neural Operator Learning for Probabilistic Models," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.07235, Nov.
• Hannah Salzberger & Tobias Just, 2025, "Urban Pulse or Suburban Ease: Unveiling the Future of Office Location," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_49, Jan.
• Natalie Kessler & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2025, "The Role of Ambiguity in the Monetary Policy Transmissions: Evidence from the European Repo Market," Working Papers, DNB, number 847, Nov.
• Monique Arkesteijn & Adinda Jongkind & Hedieh Arfa, 2025, "Understanding strategic behaviour in strategic real estate decision-making with decision support system in a public organisation," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_254, Jan.
• Maximiliano Dvorkin & Melanie LeTourneau, 2025, "Navigating in the Dark: Using High-Frequency Private Data to Track the Labor Market," On the Economy, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 102071, Nov.
• Luz, Gregorio & van Wee, Bert & Rodriguez, Daniel A. & Pereira, Rafael H. M. & Farber, Steven, 2025, "Measuring What Matters: Accessibility Measures to Evaluate Transport-Related Social Exclusion," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number 9rsgu_v1, Nov, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/9rsgu_v1.
• Subhadarsini Parida & Cida Ghosn & Christhina Candido, 2025, "Evaluating stakeholder perspectives on why social capital creates value in the green bond market within the real estate and construction sectors," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_32, Jan.
• Taehyeon Koo & Zijian Guo, 2025, "Distributionally Robust Synthetic Control: Ensuring Robustness Against Highly Correlated Controls and Weight Shifts," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.02632, Nov, revised Jan 2026.
• Thom, Ferike & Gocht, Alexander, 2024, "Bridging Gaps: Linking Sectoral Models and Individual Dietary Behavior," GEWISOLA 64th Annual Conference, Giessen, Germany, September 25–27, 2024, GEWISOLA, number 364733, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.364733.
• Korolija, Aleksandar, 2025, "Extractive Imperialism And The Experiences Of The “Lithium Triangle”," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number ksf8v_v1, May, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/ksf8v_v1.
• Sweta Byahut & Jay Mittal, 2025, "Evaluation of the initial Heat Action Plans of Indian Cities," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_31, Jan.
• Selensky, Friederike S. & Knierim, Andrea, 2024, "Nutrient management practices contribution to a social-ecological transformation towards circularity in the agricultural production," GEWISOLA 64th Annual Conference, Giessen, Germany, September 25–27, 2024, GEWISOLA, number 364758, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.364758.
• Capodici, Angelo & Pirni, Alberto & Gadignani, Anna & Noci, Francesca & Giardelli, Lucia & Emdin, Michele & Giannoni, Alberto, 2025, "Humanizing Telemedicine through Recognition-Based Ethics," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number 8w9xk_v1, Oct, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/8w9xk_v1.
• Marek Sedivy, 2025, "Intrahousehold Consumption Inequality over 24 Years: Evidence from Czechia," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2025/24, Nov, revised Nov 2025.
• Adrián Santonja & Laura Schmitz & Judit Vall, 2025, "Understanding the link between heat and intimate partner violence," Working Papers, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB), number 2025/09.
• Kee, Hiau Looi & Xie, Enze, 2025, "Nickel, Steel and Cars : Export Ban and Domestic Value-Added in Indonesia," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 11249, Nov.
• Gouzoulis, Giorgos & Papadopoulou, Aggela, 2025, "Financialization, Personal Debt Burden, & the Black-White Pay Gap in the United States," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 1686.
• Kevin Zielnicki & Guy Aridor & Aur'elien Bibaut & Allen Tran & Winston Chou & Nathan Kallus, 2025, "The Value of Personalized Recommendations: Evidence from Netflix," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.07280, Nov, revised Nov 2025.
• Chou, Phanith & Borey Bora, Chan & Phen, Bunthoeun & Kees, Swanns, 2025, "Constraints and Opportunities for Agricultural Climate Resilience through Local Technical Agroclimatic Committee Approach," 2nd ASEAN University Symposium for Sustainable Food Systems, IPB Bogor University of Agriculture, Indonesia, May 5-6, 2025, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), number 373371, Sep, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.373371.
• Banerjee, Souvik & Mukhopadhyay, Sankar & Jaiswal, Preeti, 2025, "Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes: Penalty or Premium?," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 18246, Nov.
• Josefine Quast, 2025, "Behind Schedule? Assessing Global Developments in the Provision of Economic Statistics," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2025/236, Nov.
• Villalba, Roberto & Venus, Terese E. & Trappmann, Juliana & Sauer, Johannes, , "The Smallholder Financial Inclusion index: measuring access and usage of financial services in the Global South," Agricultural Economics Society (AES) 98th Annual Conference, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK, March 18-20, 2024, Agricultural Economics Society (AES), number 355342, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.355342.
• Zhang, Meng Le & Griffith, Gareth & Holland, Sally & Elliott, Martin, 2025, "Measuring the impact of Sure Start expansion in Northern Ireland on health and social care: Early Results," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number wz2qm_v1, Nov, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/wz2qm_v1.
• Davide Luparello, 2025, "Why Do Contract Workers Earn Less? Evidence from India’s Auto Industry," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 25258.
• Colette Salemi & Sebastian Anti & Jonathan Rigberg & Karishma Silva & Johannes Hoogeveen, 2025, "A New Expanded Dataset to Study Refugee Camps inSub-Saharan Africa 1999–2024," HiCN Working Papers, Households in Conflict Network, number 442.
• Tamara Broderick & Ali Jadbabaie & Vanessa Lin & Manuel Quintero & Arnab Sarker & Sean R. Sinclair, 2025, "Network and Risk Analysis of Surety Bonds," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2511.05691, Nov.
• Chao Lin, 2025, "The Influence Mechanism of Farmers' Financial Literacy on Participation of Rural Real Estate MortgageA Case Study of Yongfeng, China Pilot," ERES, European Real Estate Society (ERES), number eres2025_126, Jan.
• Osawe, Osayanmon Wellington & Adeyemo, Temitayo Adenike, , "Does government or private support matter during crises? Panel data evidence from household response during the COVID-19 lockdown restrictions," Agricultural Economics Society (AES) 98th Annual Conference, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK, March 18-20, 2024, Agricultural Economics Society (AES), number 355347, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.355347.
• Li, Xiaofei, 2024, "All for One and One for All: A Simulation Assessment of the Economic Value of Large-Scale On-Farm Experiment Network," Land, Farm & Agribusiness Management Department, Harper Adams University, Land, Farm & Agribusiness Management Department, number 373440, Sep, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.373440.
• Fourné, Marius, 2025, "Cross-border transmission of climate policies through global production networks," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 19/2025, DOI: 10.18717/dpsbep-jm13.
• Moors, Annelies, 2025, "The Criminalization of the Joint Household: Evidencing Terrorism in the Case of Women Returnees from IS-territory in Dutch Courts," SocArXiv, Center for Open Science, number 7r25v_v1, Oct, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/7r25v_v1.
• Leonardo N. Ferreira & Caio Garzeri & Diogo Guillen & Antônio Lima & Victor Monteiro, 2025, "The Not So Quiet Revolution: signal and noise in central bank communication," Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department, number 635, Nov.
• Velloso, Helvia & Perrotti, Daniel E. & Sobreira, Rudá, 2025, "Mapping sustainability in Latin America and the Caribbean: sectoral and energy transition insights from sustainable bonds, 2014–2024," Studies and Perspectives – ECLAC Office in Washington, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 82543, Oct.

Report NEP-MAC-2025-11-17

This is the archive for NEP-MAC, a report on new working papers in the area of Macroeconomics. Soumitra Kumar Mallick issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

Subscribe to this report: email, RSS, or Mastodon, or Bluesky.

Other reports in NEP-MAC

The following items were announced in this report: