IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cam/camdae/2572.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Latin America: how its neo-liberal reforms led to a rentier trilogy of high market inequality, mediocre investment rates and collapsing productivity growth. How to fix a system with so little entropy?

Author

Listed:
  • Palma, J. G.

Abstract

Krugman identified the enigma of Latin America's underperformance as one of the greatest analytical challenges of economic theory today. Indeed, when compared with the other regions and main countries, since implementing its neo-liberal economic reforms Latin America has become a region of extremes: while its employment creation in services since 1980 ranks top in the world, its productivity growth ranks bottom; in turn, while the share of market income (i.e., before taxes and transfers) of LA's richest 1% and 10% also ranks among the top in the world, its investment as a percentage of GDP ranks bottom in the world. One narrative that helps understand this contrasting scenario is that of the classical economist David Ricardo (perhaps the greatest of the classical economists), who was the first to analyse why 'rentier-led' economies would be held back precisely by the debilitating effect of a likely 'trilogy' of high market inequality, low investment rates and meagre productivity growth. To keep exporting "more of the same" unprocessed commodities or products from "shallow" manufacturing assembly-operations is no longer a valid growthoption for Latin America ―just a recipe to continue being stuck in the middle-income trap. But domestic rigidities and markets imperfections and failures (home and abroad) are blocking the necessary "upgrade" of these exhausted productive strategies. But the conventional hegemonic wisdom still expects these countries to leap from mid-table to higher income-per capita through policies based on the same institutional setting, elite-preferences, and ideology that got them stuck in mid-table —this is not a realistic solution. Furthermore, the escape route for LA from its "neo-liberal trap", and nearly half a century of productivity stagnation, requires more than just a Keynesian/Structuralist macro, together with an ('incentive' based) industrial policy; these may well be necessary conditions for sustainable growth, but they are certainly not sufficient ones. What it needs as well is to get rentiers on board: unless one can enforce 'productive' behaviour from them, sustainable growth is not an option. The key challenge in rentier-led economies, then, comes from what I like to call a 'post-Ricardian' perspective: how to 'discipline' rentiers to be able to redirect their income towards socially desirable investment strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Palma, J. G., 2025. "Latin America: how its neo-liberal reforms led to a rentier trilogy of high market inequality, mediocre investment rates and collapsing productivity growth. How to fix a system with so little entropy?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2572, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  • Handle: RePEc:cam:camdae:2572
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/sites/default/files/publication-cwpe-pdfs/cwpe2572.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Palma, Gabriel, 1978. "Dependency: A formal theory of underdevelopment or a methodology for the analysis of concrete situations of underdevelopment?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 6(7-8), pages 881-924.
    2. Yoginder K. Alagh, 1989. "The NIEs and the Developing Asian and Pacific Region: A View from South Asia," Asian Development Review (ADR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 113-127.
    3. Sturla-Zerene, Gino & Figueroa B, Eugenio & Sturla, Massimiliano, 2020. "Reducing GHG global emissions from copper refining and sea shipping of Chile's mining exports: A world win-win policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    4. Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira & José Luis Oreiro, 2024. "A brief history of development theory. From Schumpeter and Prebisch to new developmentalism," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 44(1), pages 5-28.
    5. Chang, Ha-Joon & Rowthorn, Robert (ed.), 1995. "The Role of the State in Economic Change," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198289845.
    6. Chang, Ha-Joon, 1993. "The Political Economy of Industrial Policy in Korea," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 17(2), pages 131-157, June.
    7. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    8. Moreno-Brid, Juan Carlos & Ros, Jaime, 2009. "Development and Growth in the Mexican Economy: An Historical Perspective," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195371161.
    9. Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, 2008. "The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 28(1), pages 47-71.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Palma, J. G., 2023. "How Latin America Sinks into the Quicksand of Inertia: on getting bogged down between a fading "extractivist" model and more productivity-enhancing alternatives that just can't generate enou," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2380, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. José Gabriel Palma & Jonathan Pincus, 2024. "Is Southeast Asia falling into a Latin American-style middle-income trap?," The Japanese Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3-4), pages 305-337, October.
    3. Diego Sánchez-Ancochea, 2005. "Capitalismo, desarrollo y Estado. Una revisión crítica de la teoría del Estado de Schumpeter," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 7(13), pages 81-100, July-Dece.
    4. Matthew McCartney, 2017. "Bangladesh 2000-2017: Sustainable Growth, Technology and the Irrelevance of Productivity," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 22(Special E), pages 183-198, September.
    5. Guzman, Martin & Ocampo, Jose Antonio & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2018. "Real exchange rate policies for economic development," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 51-62.
    6. Ha-Joon Chang & Ali Cheema & L. Mises, 2002. "Conditions For Successful Technology Policy In Developing Countries—Learning Rents, State Structures, And Institutions," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4-5), pages 369-398.
    7. Bruno Ferreira Oliveira & Rodolfo Tomás Fonseca Nicolay, 2022. "Does innovative capacity affect the deindustrialization process? A panel data analysis," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-36, December.
    8. Joao Paulo A. de Souza & Leopoldo Gómez‐Ramírez, 2021. "Industrialization and skill acquisition in an evolutionary model of coordination failures," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(4), pages 849-867, November.
    9. Palma, J. G., 2019. "The Chilean economy since the return to democracy in 1990. On how to get an emerging economy growing, and then sink slowly into the quicksand of a “middle-income trap”," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1991, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    10. Palma, J.G., 2012. "Was Brazil's recent growth acceleration the world's most overrated boom?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1248, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    11. de Souza, João Paulo A. & Gómez-Ramírez, Leopoldo, 2018. "The paradox of Mexico's export boom without growth: A demand-side explanation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 96-113.
    12. Luciano Ferreira Gabriel & Luiz Carlos De Santana Ribeiro & Frederico Gonzaga Jayme Jr. & Jose Luis Oreiro, 2020. "Manufactoring, economic growth, and real exchange rate: Empirical evidence in panel data and input-output multipliers," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 73(292), pages 51-75.
    13. José Gabriel Palma, 2014. "Latin America's socail imagination since 1950. From one type of 'absolute certainties' to another - with no (far more creative)'uncomfortable uncertainties' in sight," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1416, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    14. Palma, J. G., 2023. "Ricardo was surely right: the abundance of "easy" rents leads to greedy and lazy elites. Rentier-capitalism as an exercise in "non-creative" destruction. A tribute to Geoff Harcour," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2326, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    15. Özgür Orhangazi & A. Erinç Yeldan, 2021. "The Re‐making of the Turkish Crisis," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 52(3), pages 460-503, May.
    16. Luis Bauluz & Yajna Govind & Filip Novokmet, 2020. "Global Land Inequality," PSE Working Papers halshs-03022318, HAL.
    17. Asongu, Simplice & Tchamyou, Vanessa & Asongu, Ndemaze & Tchamyou, Nina, 2018. "The Comparative African Economics of Governance in Fighting Terrorism," MPRA Paper 92346, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Lütkenhorst, Wilfried, 2018. "Creating wealth without labour? Emerging contours of a new techno-economic landscape," IDOS Discussion Papers 11/2018, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    19. Kim, Jinhee & Lee, Keun, 2022. "Local–global interface as a key factor in the catching up of regional innovation systems: Fast versus slow catching up among Taipei, Shenzhen, and Penang in Asia," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    20. Pierre-André Buigues & Elie Cohen, 2020. "The Failure of French Industrial Policy," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 249-277, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • B00 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - General - - - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cam:camdae:2572. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jake Dyer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.