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Mahmut Gunay

Personal Details

First Name:Mahmut
Middle Name:
Last Name:Gunay
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pgu588
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]

Affiliation

Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası

Ankara, Turkey
http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/
RePEc:edi:tcmgvtr (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Mahmut Gunay, 2020. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP with MIDAS: Role of Functional Form of the Lag Polynomial," Working Papers 2002, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Mahmut Gunay, 2019. "Nihai Yurt Ici Talep Kisa Donemli Tahminleri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1907, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  3. Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Nowcasting Annual Turkish GDP Growth with MIDAS," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1810, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  4. Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Forecasting Industrial Production and Inflation in Turkey with Factor Models," Working Papers 1805, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  5. Mahmut Gunay & A. Arzu Yavuz, 2017. "Milli Gelir Verilerindeki Guncelleme Sonrasi Kisa Donemli Tahmin Modellerinin Yenilenmesi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1708, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  6. Mahmut Gunay, 2016. "Forecasting Turkish GDP Growth with Financial Variables and Confidence Indicators," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1614, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  7. Mahmut Gunay, 2016. "Forecasting Turkish GDP Growth : Bottom-Up vs Direct?," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1622, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  8. Mahmut Gunay, 2015. ""I Just Ran Four Million Regressions" for Backcasting Turkish GDP Growth," Working Papers 1533, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  9. Ozgur Ozel & Mahmut Gunay, 2015. "Sanayi Uretim Endeksi Yillik Degisiminin Tahminine Istatistiksel Yaklasim," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1521, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  10. Mahmut Gunay & Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun, 2013. "Network Structure of the Turkish Economy (Turkiye Ekonomisinin Sektorel Ag Yapisi)," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1322, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  11. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay, 2013. "Milli Gelir Buyume Tahmini : IYA ve PMI Gostergelerinin Rolu," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1331, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  12. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay, 2012. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP Growth," Working Papers 1233, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  13. Altan Aldan & Ihsan Bozok & Mahmut Gunay, 2012. "Short Run Import Dynamics in Turkey," Working Papers 1225, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  14. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay & Bahar Sen-Dogan, 2012. "Business Cycle Synchronization of Turkey with Euro Area and the US : What Has Changed After 2001?," Working Papers 1215, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  15. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Bahar Sen Dogan & Mahmut Gunay, 2011. "Turkiye Ekonomisi Is Cevrimlerinin Kuresel Ekonomi ile Iliskisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1119, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  16. Mahmut Gunay, 2011. "Milli Gelir Guncellemeleri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1121, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  17. Mahmut Gunay, 2010. "Sanayi Uretimine Iliskin Piyasa Beklentilerindeki Sapmalar ve Takvim Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1003, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  18. Altan Aldan & Mahmut Gunay, 2008. "Entry to Export Markets and Productivity: Analysis of Matched Firms in Turkey," Working Papers 0805, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  19. Mahmut GÜNAY & Cengiz CIHAN & Seref SAYGILI & Mesut SAYGILI & Azim ÖZDEMIER, 2008. "Trade Block of Quarterly Macroeconometric Model of Turkey," EcoMod2008 23800048, EcoMod.

Articles

  1. Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Forecasting industrial production and inflation in Turkey with factor models," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 18(4), pages 149-161.
  2. Mahmut Günay, 2015. "Forecasting Turkish Industrial Production Growth With Static Factor Models," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 7(2), pages 64-78, September.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Mahmut Gunay, 2020. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP with MIDAS: Role of Functional Form of the Lag Polynomial," Working Papers 2002, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Pradeep Mishra & Khder Alakkari & Mostafa Abotaleb & Pankaj Kumar Singh & Shilpi Singh & Monika Ray & Soumitra Sankar Das & Umme Habibah Rahman & Ali J. Othman & Nazirya Alexandrovna Ibragimova & Gulf, 2021. "Nowcasting India Economic Growth Using a Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) Model (Empirical Study with Economic Policy Uncertainty–Consumer Prices Index)," Data, MDPI, vol. 6(11), pages 1-15, November.

  2. Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Forecasting Industrial Production and Inflation in Turkey with Factor Models," Working Papers 1805, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kim, Won Joong, 2023. "How macroeconomic factors drive the linkages between inflation and oil markets in global economies? A multiscale analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 212-232.

  3. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay, 2012. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP Growth," Working Papers 1233, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Helena Rodríguez, 2014. "Un indicador de la evolución del PIB uruguayo en tiempo real," Documentos de trabajo 2014009, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    2. Ergun Ermisoglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu, 2013. "GDP Growth and Credit Data," Working Papers 1327, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    3. Mr. Serhat Solmaz & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2015. "How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy: Nowcasting an Emerging Market," IMF Working Papers 2015/269, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Kilinc, Zubeyir & Yucel, Eray, 2016. "PMI Thresholds for GDP Growth," MPRA Paper 70929, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Bahar Şen Doğan & Murat Midiliç, 2019. "Forecasting Turkish real GDP growth in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 367-395, January.
    6. Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
    7. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay, 2013. "Milli Gelir Buyume Tahmini : IYA ve PMI Gostergelerinin Rolu," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1331, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  4. Altan Aldan & Ihsan Bozok & Mahmut Gunay, 2012. "Short Run Import Dynamics in Turkey," Working Papers 1225, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Erdal Ozmen & Duygu Yolcu-Karadam, 2014. "Structural Change in Turkish External Trade: Evidence from BEC Sectors," ERC Working Papers 1413, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Nov 2014.
    2. Ertan Oktay & Giray Gozgor, 2013. "Estimation of disaggregated import demand functions for Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 575-585.
    3. Hakan Kara & Cagri Sarikaya, 2014. "Current Account Deficit in Turkey: Cyclical or Structural?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1420, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    4. A. Hakan Kara & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Cyclically Adjusted Current Account Balance," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1318, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    5. Mr. Plamen K Iossifov & Xuan Fei, 2019. "Real Effective Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Adjustment: The Case of Turkey," IMF Working Papers 2019/131, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Hakan Kara & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Turkiye�de Konjonkturel Etkilerden Arindirilmis Cari Islemler Dengesi," Working Papers 1340, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  5. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay & Bahar Sen-Dogan, 2012. "Business Cycle Synchronization of Turkey with Euro Area and the US : What Has Changed After 2001?," Working Papers 1215, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. P. Fulya Gebeşoğlu & Hasan Murat Ertuğrul, 2014. "GDP Volatility Spillovers from the US and EU to Turkey: A Dynamic Investigation," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 51-66, May.
    2. Sofia Gouveia, 2014. "Business cycle correlation between the Euro area and the Balkan countries," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 7(1), pages 33-49, April.
    3. M. Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013. "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Working Papers 1316, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    4. RNuket Kirci Cevik & Sel Dibooglu & Ali M. Kutan, 2016. "Real and Financial Sector Studies in Central and Eastern Europe: A Review," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(1), pages 2-31, February.

  6. Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Bahar Sen Dogan & Mahmut Gunay, 2011. "Turkiye Ekonomisi Is Cevrimlerinin Kuresel Ekonomi ile Iliskisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1119, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Emel Siklar & Ilyas Siklar, 2021. "Measuring and Analyzing the Common and Idiosyncratic Cycles: An Application for Turkish Manufacturing Industry," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 11(2), pages 279-300, June.

  7. Altan Aldan & Mahmut Gunay, 2008. "Entry to Export Markets and Productivity: Analysis of Matched Firms in Turkey," Working Papers 0805, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    Cited by:

    1. Jennifer Abel-Koch, 2013. "Who Uses Intermediaries in International Trade? Evidence from Firm-level Survey Data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(8), pages 1041-1064, August.
    2. Basak Dalgic & Burcu Fazlioglu & Deniz Karaoglan, 2014. "Entry to Foreign Markets and Productivity: Evidence from a Matched Sample of Turkish Manufacturing Firms," ERC Working Papers 1403, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised May 2014.
    3. Maggioni, Daniela, 2010. "Learning by exporting in Turkey: an investigation for existence and channels," MPRA Paper 37157, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gezici Armağan & Orhangazi Özgür & Yalçın Cihan, 2018. "Exports and Financing Constraints Evidence from Turkey," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, April.
    5. Esra Balli & Çiler Sigeze, 2017. "The Nexus Between Research And Development And Export Decision: The Case Of Turkey," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 11(1), pages 34-41, December.
    6. Cebeci, Tolga, 2014. "Impact of export destinations on firm performance," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6743, The World Bank.

Articles

  1. Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Forecasting industrial production and inflation in Turkey with factor models," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 18(4), pages 149-161.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 16 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ARA: MENA - Middle East and North Africa (14) 2011-11-28 2012-05-29 2012-09-22 2013-01-12 2014-02-15 2014-10-17 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2018-01-29 2018-03-05 2019-02-18 2020-02-17. Author is listed
  2. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (7) 2008-08-21 2011-11-28 2012-09-22 2014-10-17 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2018-03-05. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (5) 2013-01-12 2016-07-30 2016-07-30 2018-03-05 2020-02-17. Author is listed
  4. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (5) 2012-05-29 2016-07-30 2018-03-05 2019-02-18 2020-02-17. Author is listed
  5. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2019-05-20
  6. NEP-EFF: Efficiency and Productivity (1) 2008-08-21
  7. NEP-ENT: Entrepreneurship (1) 2008-08-21
  8. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (1) 2020-02-17
  9. NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (1) 2013-01-12
  10. NEP-INT: International Trade (1) 2008-08-21
  11. NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (1) 2014-02-15

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