IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/sustdv/v33y2025i2p1729-1744.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pathways to climate neutrality: The role of structural change

Author

Listed:
  • Attahir B. Abubakar
  • Suleiman O. Mamman
  • Abdulmalik M. Yusuf

Abstract

The global economy continues to endure the adverse effects of climate change whose impact remains a threat multiplier that could impair the socioeconomic development of countries. This study examines the role of the changing structure of economies in the quest to achieve climate neutrality targets. To achieve this, the effect of structural change on environmental quality in the context of three major greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide) is examined. The data of the top 20 polluting countries from 1990 to 2020 is analysed. Interestingly, the results suggest that structural change may not necessarily enhance attaining climate neutrality if more greenhouse gases are considered aside from carbon emissions. Further, an increase in affluence factors, energy‐intensive technologies and population limit the attainment of climate neutrality due to their stimulating effect on the emission of all three greenhouse gases. However, renewable energy adoption is found to enhance the attainment of climate neutrality. These findings have far‐reaching implications for policies aiming to achieve climate neutrality targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Attahir B. Abubakar & Suleiman O. Mamman & Abdulmalik M. Yusuf, 2025. "Pathways to climate neutrality: The role of structural change," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 1729-1744, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:sustdv:v:33:y:2025:i:2:p:1729-1744
    DOI: 10.1002/sd.3208
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.3208
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/sd.3208?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Riza Radmehr & Samira Shayanmehr & Ernest Ali Baba & Ahmed Samour & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2024. "Spatial spillover effects of green technology innovation and renewable energy on ecological sustainability: New evidence and analysis," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 1743-1761, June.
    2. Qiang Wang & Fuyu Zhang & Rongrong Li, 2024. "Free trade and carbon emissions revisited: The asymmetric impacts of trade diversification and trade openness," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 876-901, February.
    3. Salim, Ruhul & Yao, Yao & Chen, George S., 2017. "Does human capital matter for energy consumption in China?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 49-59.
    4. Zhao, Wen-Xuan & Samour, Ahmed & Yi, Kefu & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2023. "Do technological innovation, natural resources and stock market development promote environmental sustainability? Novel evidence based on the load capacity factor," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 13-50, January.
    6. Gene M. Grossman & Alan B. Krueger, 1995. "Economic Growth and the Environment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(2), pages 353-377.
    7. Wenwen Li & Wenping Wang & Yu Wang & Yingbo Qin, 2017. "Industrial structure, technological progress and CO2 emissions in China: Analysis based on the STIRPAT framework," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(3), pages 1545-1564, September.
    8. Destek, Mehmet Akif, 2020. "Deindustrialization, Reindustrialization and Environmental Degradation: Evidence from Ecological Footprint of Turkey," MPRA Paper 114149, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Mar 2021.
    9. Du, W.C. & Xia, X.H., 2018. "How does urbanization affect GHG emissions? A cross-country panel threshold data analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 872-883.
    10. Simone Marsiglio & Alberto Ansuategi & Maria Carmen Gallastegui, 2016. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve and the Structural Change Hypothesis," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 63(2), pages 265-288, February.
    11. Zhang, Ning & Yu, Keren & Chen, Zhongfei, 2017. "How does urbanization affect carbon dioxide emissions? A cross-country panel data analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 678-687.
    12. Ciarli, Tommaso & Savona, Maria, 2019. "Modelling the Evolution of Economic Structure and Climate Change: A Review," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 51-64.
    13. Mulder, Peter & de Groot, Henri L.F. & Pfeiffer, Birte, 2014. "Dynamics and determinants of energy intensity in the service sector: A cross-country analysis, 1980–2005," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
    14. repec:clg:wpaper:2008-02 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Cherniwchan, Jevan, 2012. "Economic growth, industrialization, and the environment," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 442-467.
    16. Ahmed Jinjiri Bala & Aminu Hassan & Kabiru Isa Dandago & Attahir Babaji Abubakar & Zaharaddeen Salisu Maigoshi, 2021. "On the relationship between intellectual capital efficiency and firm value: evidence from the Nigerian oil and gas downstream sector," International Journal of Learning and Intellectual Capital, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 18(3), pages 222-251.
    17. Zhou, Yang & Liu, Yansui, 2016. "Does population have a larger impact on carbon dioxide emissions than income? Evidence from a cross-regional panel analysis in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 800-809.
    18. Cinar Baymul & Kunal Sen, 2020. "Was Kuznets Right? New Evidence on the Relationship between Structural Transformation and Inequality," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(9), pages 1643-1662, July.
    19. Yasmine M. Abdelfattah & Hala Abou-Ali & John Adams, 2018. "Population dynamics and CO2 emissions in the Arab region: an extended STIRPAT II model," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 248-271, July.
    20. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2007. "A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 265-312.
    21. Sapkota, Pratikshya & Bastola, Umesh, 2017. "Foreign direct investment, income, and environmental pollution in developing countries: Panel data analysis of Latin America," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 206-212.
    22. Cole, Matthew A. & Elliott, Robert J.R. & Wu, Shanshan, 2008. "Industrial activity and the environment in China: An industry-level analysis," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 393-408, September.
    23. Arik Levinson & M. Scott Taylor, 2008. "Unmasking The Pollution Haven Effect," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 49(1), pages 223-254, February.
    24. Wang, Ping & Wu, Wanshui & Zhu, Bangzhu & Wei, Yiming, 2013. "Examining the impact factors of energy-related CO2 emissions using the STIRPAT model in Guangdong Province, China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 65-71.
    25. Li, Rongrong & Wang, Qiang & Li, Lejia & Hu, Sailan, 2023. "Do natural resource rent and corruption governance reshape the environmental Kuznets curve for ecological footprint? Evidence from 158 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    26. Ramphul Ohlan, 2015. "The impact of population density, energy consumption, economic growth and trade openness on CO 2 emissions in India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(2), pages 1409-1428, November.
    27. Yassin, Jain & Aralas, Sarma, 2020. "The Service Sector and Carbon Emission Nexus: Revisiting Environmental Kuznets Curve," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 54(2), pages 113-124.
    28. Pasche, Markus, 2002. "Technical progress, structural change, and the environmental Kuznets curve," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 381-389, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Ke & Lin, Boqiang, 2015. "Impacts of urbanization and industrialization on energy consumption/CO2 emissions: Does the level of development matter?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1107-1122.
    2. Dimnwobi, Stephen & Ekesiobi, Chukwunonso & Madichie, Chekwube & Asongu, Simplice, 2021. "Population Dynamics and Environmental Quality in Africa," MPRA Paper 110640, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Thai-Ha Le, 2021. "Drivers of greenhouse gas emissions in ASEAN + 6 countries: a new look," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(12), pages 18096-18115, December.
    4. Thomas Jobert & Fatih Karanfil & Anna Tykhonenko, 2012. "Trade and Environment: Further Empirical Evidence from Heterogeneous Panels Using Aggregate Data," GREDEG Working Papers 2012-15, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    5. Massimiliano Mazzanti & Antonio Musolesi, 2011. "Income and time related effects in EKC," Working Papers 201105, University of Ferrara, Department of Economics.
    6. Vélez-Henao, Johan-Andrés & Font Vivanco, David & Hernández-Riveros, Jesús-Antonio, 2019. "Technological change and the rebound effect in the STIRPAT model: A critical view," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 1372-1381.
    7. Xing, Licong & Khan, Yousaf Ali & Arshed, Noman & Iqbal, Mubasher, 2023. "Investigating the impact of economic growth on environment degradation in developing economies through STIRPAT model approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    8. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2023. "Corrigendum to “The environmental Kuznets curve in the OECD: 1870–2014” [Energy Economics 75 (2018) 389–399]," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    9. Sun, Yunpeng & Li, Haoning & Andlib, Zubaria & Genie, Mesfin G., 2022. "How do renewable energy and urbanization cause carbon emissions? Evidence from advanced panel estimation techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 996-1005.
    10. Zheng Fang & Bihong Huang & Zhuoxiang Yang, 2020. "Trade openness and the environmental Kuznets curve: Evidence from Chinese cities," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(10), pages 2622-2649, October.
    11. Boris OK Lokonon & Ichaou Mounirou, 2019. "Does foreign direct investment impede forest area in Sub‐Saharan Africa?," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(4), pages 230-240, November.
    12. Zhao, Jun & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Dong, Xiucheng & Dong, Kangyin, 2021. "How does financial risk affect global CO2 emissions? The role of technological innovation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    13. Muhammad Shafiullah & Vassilios G. Papavassiliou & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2021. "Is There an Extended Education-Based Environmental Kuznets Curve? An Analysis of U.S. States," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 80(4), pages 795-819, December.
    14. Kingsley E. Dogah & Hao Lan & Sheng Zhao & Boqiang Lin, 2024. "Does Declining Air Pollution Levels Always Signal Higher Premium for Housing Market?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(11), pages 2967-2992, November.
    15. Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Boachie, Micheal Kofi, 2020. "The environmental impact of industrialization and foreign direct investment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    16. Bartosz Jóźwik & Antonina-Victoria Gavryshkiv & Kinga Galewska, 2022. "Do Urbanization and Energy Consumption Change the Role in Environmental Degradation in the European Union Countries?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-14, September.
    17. Yao, Yao & Ivanovski, Kris & Inekwe, John & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "Human capital and CO2 emissions in the long run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Destek, Mehmet Akif, 2019. "Investigation on the role of economic, social and political globalization on environment: Evidence from CEECs," MPRA Paper 106937, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Destek, Mehmet Akif & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Khan, Zeeshan, 2023. "Premature Deindustrialization and Environmental Degradation," MPRA Paper 117737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Magazzino, Cosimo & Alola, Andrew Adewale & Schneider, Nicolas, 2021. "The trilemma of innovation, logistics performance, and environmental quality in 25 topmost logistics countries: a quantile regression evidence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117654, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:sustdv:v:33:y:2025:i:2:p:1729-1744. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1099-1719 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.