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Is stochastic volatility relevant for dynamic portfolio choice under ambiguity?

Author

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  • Gonçalo Faria
  • João Correia-da-Silva

Abstract

Literature on dynamic portfolio choice has been finding that volatility risk has low impact on portfolio choice. For example, using long-run US data, Chacko and Viceira [2005. “Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets.” The Review of Financial Studies 18 (4): 1369--1402] found that intertemporal hedging demand (required by investors for protection against adverse changes in volatility) is empirically small even for highly risk-averse investors. We want to assess if this continues to be true in the presence of ambiguity. Adopting robust control and perturbation theory techniques, we study the problem of a long-horizon investor with recursive preferences that faces ambiguity about the stochastic processes that generate the investment opportunity set. We find that ambiguity impacts portfolio choice, with the relevant channel being the return process. Ambiguity about the volatility process is only relevant if, through a specific correlation structure, it also induces ambiguity about the return process. Using the same long-run US data, we find that ambiguity about the return process may be empirically relevant, much more than ambiguity about the volatility process. Anyway, intertemporal hedging demand is still very low: investors are essentially focused on the short-term risk--return characteristics of the risky asset.

Suggested Citation

  • Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2016. "Is stochastic volatility relevant for dynamic portfolio choice under ambiguity?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(7), pages 601-626, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:22:y:2016:i:7:p:601-626
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2014.958511
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    Cited by:

    1. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Matthys, Felix & Osambela, Emilio & Sircar, Ronnie, 2025. "When uncertainty and volatility are disconnected: Implications for asset pricing and portfolio performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    2. Marcos Escobar-Anel & Max Speck & Rudi Zagst, 2024. "Bayesian Learning in an Affine GARCH Model with Application to Portfolio Optimization," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-27, May.
    3. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Felix Matthys & Emilio Osambela & Ronnie Sircar, 2021. "When Uncertainty and Volatility Are Disconnected: Implications for Asset Pricing and Portfolio Performance," NBER Working Papers 29195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Immacolata Oliva & Ilaria Stefani, 2023. "Co-jumps and recursive preferences in portfolio choices," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 291-324, September.
    5. Zhou, Tong, 2021. "Ambiguity, asset illiquidity, and price variability," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 280-292.
    6. Escobar, Marcos & Ferrando, Sebastian & Rubtsov, Alexey, 2018. "Dynamic derivative strategies with stochastic interest rates and model uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 49-71.
    7. Cristina Sacala, 2016. "Portfolio Dynamics. A Macroeconomic Model," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 6(3), pages 170-176, July.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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