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The EU investment gap is really an R&D gap

Author

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  • Daniel Gros

    (Bocconi University)

  • Philipp-Leo Mengel

    (Bocconi University)

  • Giorgio Presidente

    (Bocconi University)

Abstract

This paper examines the prevalent notion of an “investment gap” in Europe. By using data from different sources, we come to three conclusion. First, as a share of GDP, overall investment is higher in Europe than in the US. Second, where Europe significantly lags is in intangible investments, especially in R&D and software. Third, this is due mainly to a composition effect, since European industry is concentrated in mid-tech sectors with low research intensity. We conclude that the current public financing initiatives at the national and EU level that focus mainly on tangible low-risk and thus low-return projects do not foster high-tech industries and innovation, and thus ultimately do little to increase long-term growth in Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Gros & Philipp-Leo Mengel & Giorgio Presidente, 2025. "The EU investment gap is really an R&D gap," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 52(3), pages 667-682, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:epolin:v:52:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s40812-025-00365-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s40812-025-00365-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gros, Daniel, 2014. "Investment as the key to recovery in the euro area?," CEPS Papers 9821, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    2. Francesco Caselli & James Feyrer, 2007. "The Marginal Product of Capital," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 122(2), pages 535-568.
    3. Francesco Zezza & Dario Guarascio, 2024. "Fiscal policy, public investment and structural change: a P-SVAR analysis on Italian regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(6), pages 1356-1373, June.
    4. Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2024. "Measuring the macroeconomic responses to public investment in innovation: evidence from OECD countries," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 33(2), pages 363-382.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dario Guarascio & Mario Holzner & Donato Iacobucci & Valentina Meliciani, 2025. "European competitiveness in the new global context: structural constraints, strategic dependencies and the role of the new industrial policy," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 52(3), pages 525-533, September.

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