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Central bank interventions in a dollarized economy: managed floating versus inflation targeting

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  • Gabriela Mundaca

    (The World Bank)

Abstract

Effects of interventions by the Banco Central de Reserva del Peru (BCRP) on the sol/USD exchange rate are studied. The BCRP is currently committed to following an inflation-targeting (IT) regime to intervene in the foreign exchange market only to reduce exchange-rate volatility and during specific segments of the day and to make these interventions public information. We find that interventions in the foreign exchange market by the BCRP have been effective in moving the sol/USD in the intended direction during both the past managed floating regime and the current IT regime. Interventions have, however, increased the volatility of the sol/USD, and this increase has continued very strongly under the IT regime. A conclusion is that the BCRP might not yet have gained a sufficiently strong reputation to effectively reduce the exchange-rate volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriela Mundaca, 2018. "Central bank interventions in a dollarized economy: managed floating versus inflation targeting," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1507-1535, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:55:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1331-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1331-5
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange interventions; Intra-daily exchange rates; Conditional volatility; Emerging countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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