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Going Back: Radiation and Intentions to Return amongst Households Evacuated after the Great Tohoku Earthquake


  • Alistair Munro

    () (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies)

  • Shunsuke Managi

    () (School of Engineering, Kyushu University)


Abstract Based on a survey conducted with evacuees from the Fukushima radiation-affected region of Japan we examine intentions to return, eventually to the family homes. Many respondents do not intend to return, particularly those from tsunami-affected towns, but higher income households and those who evacuated to the same town are more likely to go back. Intentions are only weakly responsive to changes in ambient radiation levels and families with children are particularly unwilling to return to radiation affected areas, suggesting that the ongoing policy of active decontamination may have only a limited impact on eventual resettlement.

Suggested Citation

  • Alistair Munro & Shunsuke Managi, 2017. "Going Back: Radiation and Intentions to Return amongst Households Evacuated after the Great Tohoku Earthquake," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 77-93, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:ediscc:v:1:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s41885-017-0001-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s41885-017-0001-6

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jungbu Kim & Seong Soo Oh, 2014. "The virtuous circle in disaster recovery: who returns and stays in town after disaster evacuation?," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 665-682, May.
    2. Craig E. Landry & Okmyung Bin & Paul Hindsley & John C. Whitehead & Kenneth Wilson, 2007. "Going Home: Evacuation-Migration Decisions of Hurrican Katrina Survivors," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 74(2), pages 326-343, October.
    3. Christina Paxson & Cecilia Rouse, 2008. "Returning to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina," Working Papers 1052, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
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    5. Christina Paxson & Cecilia Rouse, 2008. "Returning to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina," Working Papers 1126, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Center for Health and Wellbeing..
    6. Lehmann, Hartmut & Wadsworth, Jonathan, 2011. "The impact of Chernobyl on health and labour market performance," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 843-857.
    7. Nekeisha Spencer & Mikhail-Ann Urquhart, 2016. "Hurricanes? Let's Make a Move," CESifo Working Paper Series 6081, CESifo Group Munich.
    8. Fisman, Raymond & Svensson, Jakob, 2007. "Are corruption and taxation really harmful to growth? Firm level evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 63-75, May.
    9. Onuma, Hiroki & Shin, Kong Joo & Managi, Shunsuke, 2016. "Household preparedness for natural disasters:Impact of disaster experience and implications for future disaster risks in Japan," MPRA Paper 77634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Jeffrey Groen & Anne Polivka, 2010. "Going home after Hurricane Katrina: Determinants of return migration and changes in affected areas," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 47(4), pages 821-844, November.
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    13. Kazuya Nakayachi & Hiromi M. Yokoyama & Satoko Oki, 2015. "Public anxiety after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake: fluctuations in hazard perception after catastrophe," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 156-169, February.
    14. Christina Paxson & Cecilia Elena Rouse, 2008. "Returning to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 38-42, May.
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    16. Christina Paxson & Cecilia E. Rouse, 2008. "Returning to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina," Working Papers 1043, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
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    Cited by:

    1. Shibly Shahrier & Koji Kotani, 2019. "Natural disaster mitigation through voluntary donations in a developing country: the case of Bangladesh," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 21(1), pages 37-60, January.
    2. repec:spr:ediscc:v:2:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s41885-018-0027-4 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:spr:ediscc:v:2:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s41885-018-0029-2 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:spr:ediscc:v:2:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s41885-018-0025-6 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:spr:ediscc:v:3:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s41885-018-0031-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Timo Goeschl & Shunsuke Managi, 2019. "Public in-Kind Relief and Private Self-Insurance," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 3-21, April.
    7. Yumashev, Dmitry & Johnson, Paul, 2017. "Flexible decision making in the wake of large scale nuclear emergencies: Long-term response," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(1), pages 368-389.
    8. repec:spr:ediscc:v:2:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s41885-017-0021-2 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:spr:ediscc:v:2:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s41885-017-0022-1 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Mohammad Sanaei & Shinya Horie & Shunsuke Managi, 2016. "Job Opportunity And Ownership Status: Return Decision After The Great East Japan Earthquake And Tsunami," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(01), pages 1-16, March.


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