IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sbe/breart/v30y2010i1a2830.html

Stochastic Convergence Across Brazilian States

Author

Abstract

We analyze the dynamic properties of the relative income of Brazilian states for the 1985-2008 period. Unit root tests suggest that shocks to relative income have permanent effects, contradicting the stochastic convergence hypothesis. On the other hand, interval estimates of the largest autoregressive root produce wide confidence intervals that include many alternatives consistent with stationarity. Additionally, the confidence interval estimate of the half-life suggests that relative income shocks die out relatively quick, within an average of 0 to 5 years. These results suggest that relative income shocks have a temporary effect, thus supporting the stochastic convergence hypothesis. Furthermore, we build a relative income series for the Brazilian states for the 1947-2008 period andredo the exercises above. Finally, all of our results remain the same when we extend the sample to the 1947-2008 period.

Suggested Citation

  • Mello, Marcelo, 2010. "Stochastic Convergence Across Brazilian States," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 30(1), October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sbe:breart:v:30:y:2010:i:1:a:2830
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://periodicos.fgv.br/bre/article/view/2830
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marcelo Mello & Roberto Guimaraes-Filho, 2007. "A note on fractional stochastic convergence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(16), pages 1-14.
    2. Hashem Pesaran, M., 2007. "A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 312-355, May.
    3. Rossi, Barbara, 2005. "Confidence Intervals for Half-Life Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 432-442, October.
    4. Bernard, Andrew B & Durlauf, Steven N, 1995. "Convergence in International Output," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(2), pages 97-108, April-Jun.
    5. Michelacci, Claudio & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2000. "(Fractional) beta convergence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 129-153, February.
    6. Caner, M. & Kilian, L., 2001. "Size distortions of tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity: evidence and implications for the PPP debate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 639-657, October.
    7. Mello, Marcelo, 2011. "Stochastic Convergence Across U.S. States," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 160-183, April.
    8. Lima, Luiz Renato & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Reis Gomes, Fábio Augusto, 2010. "Empirical Evidence on Convergence Across Brazilian States," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(2), June.
    9. Stock, James H., 1991. "Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 435-459, December.
    10. Miguel-Angel Martín & Agustín Herranz, 2004. "Human capital and economic growth in Spanish regions," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 10(4), pages 257-264, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2021. "The persistence of inequality across Indian states: A time series approach," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 1150-1171, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Penna, Christiano Modesto & Linhares, Fabricio Carneiro, 2013. "Há controvérsia entre análises de beta e sigma-convergência no Brasil?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    2. repec:fgv:epgrbe:v:67:n:1:a:6 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2021. "The persistence of inequality across Indian states: A time series approach," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 1150-1171, August.
    4. Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2016. "The persistence of inequality across Indian states," CSAE Working Paper Series 2016-26, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    5. Stengos, Thanasis & Yazgan, M. Ege, 2014. "Persistence In Convergence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 753-782, June.
    6. Giovanni Caggiano & Leone Leonida, 2009. "International output convergence: evidence from an autocorrelation function approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 139-162.
    7. Kim, Soyoung & Lima, Luiz Renato, 2010. "Local persistence and the PPP hypothesis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 555-569, April.
    8. Cartone, Alfredo & Postiglione, Paolo & Hewings, Geoffrey J.D., 2021. "Does economic convergence hold? A spatial quantile analysis on European regions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 408-417.
    9. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2014. "A Note On The Extent Of U.S. Regional Income Convergence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(7), pages 1635-1655, October.
    10. Breinlich, Holger & Ottaviano, Gianmarco I.P. & Temple, Jonathan R.W., 2014. "Regional Growth and Regional Decline," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 4, pages 683-779, Elsevier.
    11. Lima, Luiz Renato & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Reis Gomes, Fábio Augusto, 2010. "Empirical Evidence on Convergence Across Brazilian States," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(2), June.
    12. Gilles Dufrénot & Valérie Mignon & Théo Naccache, 2012. "Testing Catching-Up Between The Developing Countries: “Growth Resistance” And Sometimes “Growth Tragedy”," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 470-508, October.
    13. Massimiliano Affinito, 2011. "Convergence clubs, the euro-area rank and the relationship between banking and real convergence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 809, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Daniel J. Henderson & Christopher F. Parmeter & R. Robert Russell, 2008. "Modes, weighted modes, and calibrated modes: evidence of clustering using modality tests," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 607-638.
    15. Atanu Ghoshray & Emi Mise, 2025. "Whither the price of coffee? An analysis of trends and shocks since the coffee crisis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(6), pages 2655-2672, June.
    16. Pei-Chien Lin & Ho-Chuan Huang, 2012. "Convergence in income inequality? evidence from panel unit root tests with structural breaks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 153-174, August.
    17. Christopoulos Dimitris K & Leon-Ledesma Miguel A., 2011. "International Output Convergence, Breaks, and Asymmetric Adjustment," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-33, May.
    18. Cheong, Tsun Se & Wu, Yanrui, 2018. "Convergence and transitional dynamics of China's industrial output: A county-level study using a new framework of distribution dynamics analysis," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 125-138.
    19. Elizabeth Wakerly & Byron Scott & James Nason, 2006. "Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 320-347, February.
    20. Svetlana Gurieva & Irina Kuznetsova & Ekaterina Yumkina & Sergey Manichev & Elena Sidorenko, 2017. "Emotional Intelligence and Behavior Styles of Russian Middle Managers in Business Communication," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 679-693.
    21. Soon, Siew-Voon & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Mohamad Shariff, Nurul Sima, 2017. "The persistence in real interest rates: Does it solve the intertemporal consumption behavior puzzle?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 36-51.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sbe:breart:v:30:y:2010:i:1:a:2830. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Núcleo de Computação da FGV EPGE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sbeeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.