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Modeling of spatial dependence in the migration flows of graduates of the higher education institutions of the Russian Federation


  • Antosik, Liubov

    (Volgograd State University, Volgograd, Russian Federation)

  • Ivashina, Natalya

    (Far Eastern Federal University, Vladivostok, Russian Federation)


This paper presents the results of modeling the migration processes of university graduates, with the influence of neighboring regions being taken into account. Significant factors of migration of graduates of Russian universities appear to be the higher incomes, GRP per capita and the unemployment rate in the destination region. Using tools of spatial econometrics it was proven that there is a positive spatial autocorrelation by the outflow and influx of graduates between neighboring regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Antosik, Liubov & Ivashina, Natalya, 2019. "Modeling of spatial dependence in the migration flows of graduates of the higher education institutions of the Russian Federation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 54, pages 70-89.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0368

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Beine, Michel & Noël, Romain & Ragot, Lionel, 2014. "Determinants of the international mobility of students," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 40-54.
    2. Andrei Rogers & Frans Willekens & James Raymer & Jani Little, 2002. "articles: Describing migration spatial structure," Papers in Regional Science, Springer;Regional Science Association International, vol. 81(1), pages 29-48.
    3. Daria Ciriaci, 2014. "Does University Quality Influence the Interregional Mobility of Students and Graduates? The Case of Italy," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(10), pages 1592-1608, October.
    4. James P. LeSage & R. Kelley Pace, 2008. "Spatial Econometric Modeling Of Origin‐Destination Flows," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(5), pages 941-967, December.
    5. Guriev, Sergei & Vakulenko, Elena, 2015. "Breaking out of poverty traps: Internal migration and interregional convergence in Russia," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 633-649.
    6. Tom Wilson, 2010. "Model migration schedules incorporating student migration peaks," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 23(8), pages 191-222.
    7. James P. LeSage & Christine Thomas-Agnan, 2015. "Interpreting Spatial Econometric Origin-Destination Flow Models," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2), pages 188-208, March.
    8. Subrata Ghatak & Alan Mulhern & John Watson, 2008. "Inter‐Regional Migration in Transition Economies: The Case of Poland," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(1), pages 209-222, February.
    9. Ivan Etzo, 2011. "The Determinants Of The Recent Interregional Migration Flows In Italy: A Panel Data Analysis," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(5), pages 948-966, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Moskvina, Victoria, 2019. "Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 99-122.
    2. Антосик Л. В. & Ивашина Н. В., 2021. "Факторы И Направления Межрегиональной Миграции Выпускников Вузов В России," Вопросы образования // Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 107-125.

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    More about this item


    migration; graduates of universities; modify gravity model; spatial effects; Russian regions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers


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