IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia


  • Moskvina, Victoria

    () (Economic Expert Group (EEG), Moscow, Russian Federation)


The purpose of this work is to explain the directions of interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia. An econometric model is being developed, based on the gravity model of migration. The Monitoring of graduates’ employability (2013–2015) was used as the source of the migration data. It was shown that the use of count data models (Poisson regression) leads to a more precise estimation compared with OLS (according to calculated metrics of prediction accuracy — MAE and MSE). According to the results one of the main reasons for the observed post-graduate mobility is the lack of jobs for qualified specialists in a region. In addition, some other characteristics — high marriage rate and developed system of higher education in a region — are capable of retaining young people in the regions of graduation. At the same time diverse recreational opportunities and effective healthcare system in destination area attract graduates from other parts of the country. The results obtained clarify in which direction the conditions in lagging territories are needed to be improved in order to accumulate human capital, necessary for the start of development in these areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Moskvina, Victoria, 2019. "Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 56, pages 99-122.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0383

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item


    migration; gravity model; graduate mobility; Poisson regression;

    JEL classification:

    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0383. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Anatoly Peresetsky). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.