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Causal Relationship between Agricultural Exports and Exchange Rate: Evidence for India


  • Dicle Ozdemir


In this paper we empirically investigate the causal link between agricultural exports and real exchange rate in India employing linear and nonlinear causality analysis. We carry out our investigation using annual index of the quantity of agricultural exports in India and real US Dollar to Rupee exchange rate data which cover the period between 1961 and 2013. We find that there are no significant changes in the linear and nonlinear causal relations between agricultural exports and exchange rates over the sample period under investigation. However, our investigation does not provide any evidence of bidirectional or unidirectional causality between the agricultural exports to real exchange rate in India. It can be concluded that one of the key reasons for high levels of the quantity of agricultural exports in India is long-term economic growth, rather than the real value of Indian Rupee.

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  • Dicle Ozdemir, 2017. "Causal Relationship between Agricultural Exports and Exchange Rate: Evidence for India," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(6), pages 36-41, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:4:y:2017:i:6:p:36-41

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Bekiros, Stelios D. & Diks, Cees G.H., 2008. "The nonlinear dynamic relationship of exchange rates: Parametric and nonparametric causality testing," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1641-1650, December.
    2. Akram, Q. Farooq, 2009. "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 838-851, November.
    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
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    More about this item


    agriculture export; exchange rate; causality; nonlinear; India;

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General


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