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La gran depresión de la economía peruana: ¿Una tormenta perfecta?

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  • Llosa, Luis Gonzalo
  • Panizza, Ugo

Abstract

Describimos la gran depresión por la que atravesó el Perú durante las décadas de 1970 y 1980 y analizamos las posibles hipótesis que pueden explicar el profundo colapso y la lenta recuperación que tuvo la economía peruana. La conclusión principal de este trabajo es que difícilmente puede hallarse una explicación única para la gran depresión que sufrió el Perú. Tal como ocurre en una tormenta perfecta, fueron tantas las cosas que salieron mal al mismo tiempo que los efectos de cada choque negativo fueron amplificando los de otros choques. Nuestros resultados sugieren que los choques externos que golpearon al país en la década de 1980 fueron amplificados por un sistema político débil y fragmentado, una limitada capacidad empresarial y la falta de una política industrial coherente que podría promover el descubrimiento de nuevas actividades productivas.

Suggested Citation

  • Llosa, Luis Gonzalo & Panizza, Ugo, 2015. "La gran depresión de la economía peruana: ¿Una tormenta perfecta?," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 30, pages 91-117.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbp:esteco:ree-30-05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Saki Bigio & Nelson R. Ramírez Rondán, 2020. "Corrupción e indicadores de desarrollo en el Perú y el mundo: una revisión empírica," Capítulos de libros, in: Nikita Céspedes Reynaga & Norman V. Loayza & Nelson R. Ramírez Rondán (ed.), Crecimiento económico en el Perú: causas y consecuencias, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 118-151, Universidad de San Martín de Porres.
    2. Margarita Elluz Calle Arancibia & Wagner Enoc Vicente Ramos & Gustavo Ilich Loayza Acosta, 2020. "Determinants of Arrears in the Municipal Savings Banks, Rural Savings Banks and EDPYMES of Peru," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(4), pages 523-536, July.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative

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