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Reconsidering the economic and political reasons of the euro area crisis: Diverging fundamentals or self-fulfilling expectations?

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  • Pompeo Della Posta

    (University of Pisa)

Abstract

This article nests the explanations of the euro crisis in terms of economic, political and institutional causes within the diverging fundamentals vs. self-fulfilling expectations debate. It argues that explanations based on fundamental divergences refer to a subset of economic variables only, while those based on self-fulfilling expectations refer to political and institutional variables. However, since there is no reason not to include the latter among the fundamental variables of an economy, there is no need to refer to negative self-fulfilling expectations as an explanation for the crisis. In the paper, the role played by political and institutional variables, namely federal and monetary solidarity, is formalized in a simple model of diverging fundamentals that goes beyond the consideration of economic variables only.

Suggested Citation

  • Pompeo Della Posta, 2017. "Reconsidering the economic and political reasons of the euro area crisis: Diverging fundamentals or self-fulfilling expectations?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 70(282), pages 283-310.
  • Handle: RePEc:psl:pslqrr:2017:33
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    File URL: http://ojs.uniroma1.it/index.php/PSLQuarterlyReview/article/view/13868/pdf_12
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pompeo Della Posta, 2018. "Fiscal austerity and monetary easing: which one is to be praised for ending the euro area crisis?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 15(1), pages 165-189, June.
    2. Pompeo Della Posta & Enrico Marelli & Marcello Signorelli, 2020. "A market‐financed and growth‐enhancing investment plan for the euro area," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 604-632, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro crisis; Fundamentals; Self-fulfilling expectations; Fiscal solidarity; Monetary solidarity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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