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Guide pratique des séries non-stationnaires

  • Bernard Salanié

[fre] Guide pratique des séries non-stationnaires par Bernard Salanié . L'objet de ce texte est de présenter les méthodes économétriques disponibles pour procéder à l'estimation et au test de systèmes comprenant des variables non-stationnaires, en insistant sur les contributions récentes qui fournissent des méthodes plus simples et/ou plus robustes que celles qui ont été développées au début des années quatre- vingt. L'approche utilisée est résolument pragmatique : aucun résultat asymptotique n'est démontré, mais on cherche à évaluer les avantages et inconvénients de l'utilisation de chaque procédure. [eng] A guide to non-stationary series by Bernard Salanié . The purpose of this paper is to present traditional and more recent econometric procedures for estimating and testing systems that contain non-stationary variables. The aim throughout is not to prove asymptotic results, but rather to weigh the pros and cons of using each method. The article attempts to show that more recent methods may be more straightforward and/or robust than procedures developed in the early 1980s.

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File URL: http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3406/ecop.1999.5953
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File URL: http://www.persee.fr/articleAsPDF/ecop_0249-4744_1999_num_137_1_5953/ecop_0249-4744_1999_num_137_1_5953.pdf?mode=light
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Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Économie & prévision.

Volume (Year): 137 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 119-141

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Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1999_num_137_1_5953
Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.1999.5953
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/revue/ecop

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  1. Quah, Danny, 1992. "The Relative Importance of Permanent and Transitory Components: Identification and Some Theoretical Bounds," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(1), pages 107-18, January.
  2. repec:att:wimass:9220 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1994. "Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 631-53, October.
  4. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-36, July.
  5. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
  6. Shin, Yongcheol, 1994. "A Residual-Based Test of the Null of Cointegration Against the Alternative of No Cointegration," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(01), pages 91-115, March.
  7. H. D. Vinod & B. D. McCullough, 1999. "The Numerical Reliability of Econometric Software," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(2), pages 633-665, June.
  8. Sims, Christopher A & Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1990. "Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 113-44, January.
  9. Perron, P, 1988. "The Great Crash, The Oil Price Shock And The Unit Root Hypothesis," Papers 338, Princeton, Department of Economics - Econometric Research Program.
  10. Pierre PERRON & John Y. CAMPBELL, 1992. "Racines unitaires en macroéconomie : le cas multidimensionnel," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ENSAE, issue 27, pages 1-50.
  11. Schmidt, Peter & Phillips, C B Peter, 1992. "LM Tests for a Unit Root in the Presence of Deterministic Trends," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 54(3), pages 257-87, August.
  12. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501, March.
  13. Rappoport, Peter & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 1989. "Segmented Trends and Non-stationary Time Series," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 99(395), pages 168-77, Supplemen.
  14. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
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