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Food Trade Openness and Enhancement of Food Security—Partial Equilibrium Model Simulations for Selected Countries

Author

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  • Eihab Fathelrahman

    (Al Magam Campus, College of Food and Agriculture (CFA), United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain 15551, United Arab Emirates)

  • Stephen Davies

    (International Food Policy Research Institute, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Safdar Muhammad

    (Al Magam Campus, College of Food and Agriculture (CFA), United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain 15551, United Arab Emirates)

Abstract

This research measured the welfare impacts of food trade liberalization in India, Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) using the partial equilibrium model—World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS). Macroeconomic settings, domestic policy objectives, and food security indicator data are used to assess the implications of the simulations on food availability and stability. Simulation results for India, Egypt, and Pakistan indicate annual welfare gains (consumer surplus) of 2571, 340, and 25 million USD, respectively, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE have gains of 14 and 17 million USD. Results show that tariff elimination would have wide-ranging welfare impacts across food commodities within these countries. Moreover, reductions for specific commodities directly relevant to food energy and protein availability would have a greater direct impact on the poor. Lowering the highest tariffs on those commodities might raise the real incomes of more than 350 million persons by 7.5% or more and could create shifts in consumption towards more diversified and nutritionally sound diets.

Suggested Citation

  • Eihab Fathelrahman & Stephen Davies & Safdar Muhammad, 2021. "Food Trade Openness and Enhancement of Food Security—Partial Equilibrium Model Simulations for Selected Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-20, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:8:p:4107-:d:531557
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Tomáš Loveček & Lenka Straková & Katarína Kampová, 2021. "Modeling and Simulation as Tools to Increase the Protection of Critical Infrastructure and the Sustainability of the Provision of Essential Needs of Citizens," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, May.
    3. Mohammad Hasan Mobarok & Wyatt Thompson & Theodoros Skevas, 2021. "COVID-19 and Policy Impacts on the Bangladesh Rice Market and Food Security," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, May.

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