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Influence of composition, amount and life span of passenger cars on end-of-life vehicles waste in Belgium: A system dynamics approach

Author

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  • Inghels, Dirk
  • Dullaert, Wout
  • Raa, Birger
  • Walther, Grit

Abstract

The increasing worldwide production of passenger cars depletes natural resources and increases the number of end-of-life vehicles (ELVs) to be processed. Lack of landfill capacity and a growing scarcity of natural resources have lead to severe ELV reuse and recovery targets in the European Union (EU). This paper examines the main influencing parameters affecting the amount and composition of ELV waste originating from passenger cars to be treated in Authorized Treatment Facilities (ATFs). Moreover the effect of a changing number, composition and life span of passenger cars on the ability to meet the ambitious EU ELV Directive 2000/53/EC targets in 2015 is examined for Belgium. Using system dynamics, the aforementioned changing parameters are studied from 1990 and projected to 2030. The model results show that the total annual weight of ELV waste to be reused and recycled in Belgium is expected to grow over the coming years despite the economic downturn of 2008 and its effect on GDP growth. Moreover it shows that Belgium can sustainably achieve the ambitious EU ELV Directive 2000/53/EC targets in 2015 and thereafter if it continues to invest in waste treatment of ELV plastics. The availability of higher amounts of ELV plastics proves to be favourable to trigger investments in their reusing and recycling. We demonstrate that this can be realized by reducing export of discarded passenger cars, shortening the life span of passenger cars or shortening the time for investing in additional plastic recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Inghels, Dirk & Dullaert, Wout & Raa, Birger & Walther, Grit, 2016. "Influence of composition, amount and life span of passenger cars on end-of-life vehicles waste in Belgium: A system dynamics approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 80-104.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:91:y:2016:i:c:p:80-104
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2016.06.005
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    1. T. V. Krishna Mohan & R. K. Amit, 2020. "Dismantlers’ dilemma in end-of-life vehicle recycling markets: a system dynamics model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 290(1), pages 591-619, July.
    2. Vuk Petronijević & Aleksandar Đorđević & Miladin Stefanović & Slavko Arsovski & Zdravko Krivokapić & Milan Mišić, 2020. "Energy Recovery through End-of-Life Vehicles Recycling in Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-26, October.
    3. Sitinjak, Charli & Simic, Vladimir & Ismail, Rozmi & Musselwhite, Charles & Bacanin, Nebojsa, 2024. "Psychometric components of the social acceptance toward end-of-life vehicles policy: A case study of Indonesia," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 206-218.
    4. Rešetar, Marko & Pejić, Goran & Lulić, Zoran, 2018. "Changes and trends in the Croatian road vehicle fleet – Need for change of policy measures," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 92-105.
    5. Hasani Mohd Ali & Vladimir Simic & Charli Sitinjak & Jady Zaidi Hassim & Muhamad Helmi Md Said & Rasyikah Md Khalid & Grace Emmanuel Kaka & Rozmi Ismail, 2023. "Exploring Public Perceptions and Disposal Procedures in the Development of a Comprehensive End-of-Life Vehicle Regulation in Malaysia: A Pilot Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-18, March.
    6. Ziyad Tariq Abdullah, 2021. "Remanufacturing end-of-life passenger car waste sheet steel into mesh sheet: A sustainability assessment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(10), pages 1-18, October.
    7. Jianjun Dong & Yuanxian Xu & Bon-gang Hwang & Rui Ren & Zhilong Chen, 2019. "The Impact of Underground Logistics System on Urban Sustainable Development: A System Dynamics Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, February.

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