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Sources of long run economic growth in Russia before and after the global financial crisis

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  • Voskoboynikov, Ilya B.

Abstract

Although productivity decline in the global economy was observed before 2008, the global financial crisis of 2008 stimulated study of its source. In this context, recent literature mentions inefficient investments in machinery, human capital, and organizational processes. This can include skill mismatch and the lack of technology diffusion from advanced to emerging industries and firms. To what extent is this global view helpful in understanding recent productivity decline in the Russian economy? The present study reports that at least some of these sources can be observed in Russia as well. Using conventional industry growth accounting, it compares pre- and post-crisis sources of growth for the Russian economy. Specifically, it presents aggregate labor productivity growth as the sum of capital intensity and total factor productivity (TFP) growth in industries, and the contribution of labor reallocation between industries. It shows that the stagnation of 2008–2014 is more the result of the TFP decline and the deterioration of the allocation of labor than the lack of capital input. Moreover, the TFP decline started in Russia a few years before the crisis, as it did in major global economies, such as the United States, OECD countries, China, and Brazil. At the same time, relatively stable capital intensity made the Russian pattern to some degree similar to resource abundant Australia and Canada. Furthermore, the contribution of information and communications technology capital to labor productivity growth in Russia declined after 2008, which could have also hampered technology diffusion. Finally, the structure of the flow of capital services in Russia changed after 2008. Before the crisis, the contribution of machinery and equipment dominated, while after the crisis, construction provided the lion's share of capital input.

Suggested Citation

  • Voskoboynikov, Ilya B., 2017. "Sources of long run economic growth in Russia before and after the global financial crisis," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 348-365.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:rujoec:v:3:y:2017:i:4:p:348-365
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ruje.2017.12.003
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    Cited by:

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    2. Adilson Giovanini & Wallace Marcelino Pereira & Kleverton Clóvis de Oliveira Saath, 2020. "Intermediate services’ impact on capital goods production [Contribuição dos serviços intermediários na produção de bens de capital]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 30(1), pages 203-230, January-A.
    3. Bessonova, Evguenia, 2023. "Firms’ efficiency, exits and government procurement contracts," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Mihaela NECULITA, 2018. "Trends of the Russian Economy in the World Economy," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 104-109.
    5. Tsvetkova, Anna, 2021. "Technical efficiency trends of Russian firms in 2013–2018," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 91-116.
    6. Marina V. Evseeva, 2019. "The study of high-tech companies’ growth specifics applying the parametric approach," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 20(5), pages 108-124, December.
    7. Svetlana V. Orekhova & Evgeny V. Kislitsyn, 2019. "Total factor productivity in the Russian industry: Small vs large enterprises," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 20(2), pages 124-144, May.
    8. Dmitriy Aleksandrovich Izotov, 2018. "Economic Growth and the Trade of Russian Regions," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 4, pages 92-114.
    9. Ballatore, Benedetto Francesco, 2021. "The importance of Russia’s agricultural sector in the MENA geopolitics," MPRA Paper 106440, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Mar 2021.
    10. Andrei V. Belyi & Peter Havlik & Artem Kochnev & Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2019. "Monthly Report No. 2/2019," wiiw Monthly Reports 2019-02, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    11. Cepni, Oguzhan & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Guney, Ibrahim Ethem & Yilmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2023. "Do the carry trades respond to geopolitical risks? Evidence from BRICS countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    12. Evguenia Bessonova, 2019. "Firms' Efficiency, Exits and Government procurement contracts," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps49, Bank of Russia.
    13. Dariusz Kotlewski & Mirosław Błażej, 2022. "Evidence for Middle‐Income Trap Non‐occurrence in the Light of KLEMS Growth Accounting for Poland," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 68(S1), pages 22-51, April.
    14. Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2023. "Sources of productivity growth in Eastern Europe and Russia before the global financial crisis," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 225-241, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia; industry growth accounting; global financial crisis; World KLEMS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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