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Dynamic electoral competition with voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall

Author

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  • Lockwood, Ben
  • Le, Minh
  • Rockey, James

Abstract

This paper explores the implications of voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall for the dynamics of electoral competition in a simple Downsian model of repeated elections. The interplay between the median voter’s reference point and political parties’ choice of platforms generates a dynamic process of (de)polarization, following an initial shift in party ideology. This is consistent with the gradual nature of long-term trends in polarization in the US Congress.

Suggested Citation

  • Lockwood, Ben & Le, Minh & Rockey, James, 2024. "Dynamic electoral competition with voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:232:y:2024:i:c:s0047272724000082
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105072
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electoral competition; Repeated elections; Loss-aversion; Imperfect recall; Polarization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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