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Oil shock in the Caspian Basin: Diversification policy and subsidized economies

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  • Bayramov, Vugar
  • Abbas, Gulnara

Abstract

The recent oil price shocks of 2014 resulted in a substantial economic slowdown in the oil-exporting countries of the Caspian Basin, namely Russia, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan. These resource-reliant countries have encountered a contraction not only in the commodity sector, but also in the non-oil sector due to poor diversification of the economy, and cuts in budget expenditure amid plunging oil prices. By analyzing the underlying causes of the current crisis, this paper concludes that, the economies of these countries are “subsidized economies”, or based on government spending financed by resource windfalls. The non-resource sectors in these oil-exporting countries were poorly developed prior to the crisis and failed to act as an avenue for diversification, lacking the potential to be export-oriented and sustainable. Russia, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan need to implement various reforms to support the diversification of the economy, including liberal measures such as eliminating barriers to market entry and promoting competition.

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  • Bayramov, Vugar & Abbas, Gulnara, 2017. "Oil shock in the Caspian Basin: Diversification policy and subsidized economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 149-156.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:54:y:2017:i:c:p:149-156
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2017.10.006
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    5. Niftiyev, Ibrahim, 2022. "Textile and Chemical Subsectors in the Azerbaijani Economy: A Descriptive Glance at Possible De-Industrialization," EconStor Preprints 250900, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
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    7. Farid Zulfigarov & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2019. "Azerbaijan and its Oil Resources: Curse or Blessing?," Research Papers in Economics 2019-11, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    8. Niftiyev, Ibrahim, 2021. "How to Conceptualize the Resource Curse and Dutch Disease Theories in the Case of Azerbaijan? Initial and Negative Findings," EconStor Preprints 234576, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Ibadoghlu, Gubad & Sadigov, Rashad, 2023. "The economics of petro-authoritarianism: Post-soviet transitions and democratization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    10. Zulfigarov, Farid & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2020. "The impact of oil price changes on selected macroeconomic indicators in Azerbaijan," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    11. Yadulla Hasanli & Elkhan Richard Sadik-Zada & Simrah Ismayilova & Günay Rahimli & Farida Ismayilova, 2023. "Could the Lacking Absorption Capacity of the Inflowing Capital Be the Real Cause of the Resource Curse?—A Case Study of Transition Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
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