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The savings and investment relationship: The Feldstein–Horioka puzzle revisited

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  • Khan, Saleheen

Abstract

This paper revisits the Feldstein Horioka (FH) puzzle by estimating a time varying parameter model through Kalman filtering. The paper investigated the existence of savings and investment relationship for 22 OECD countries. We found evidence that the time varying saving retention coefficient has gradually declined since mid 70’s for most of the countries in our sample. Average time varying saving retention coefficient for the entire sample also showed steady decline as well. The degree of capital mobility is increasing as the world financial markets are becoming increasingly integrated over time. Therefore, the savings and investment relationship will go through a dynamic process. The current study tries to capture this dynamic relationship between savings and investment using a state-space model.

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  • Khan, Saleheen, 2017. "The savings and investment relationship: The Feldstein–Horioka puzzle revisited," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 324-332.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:39:y:2017:i:2:p:324-332
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.02.002
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    Cited by:

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    2. Dilem Yıldırım & Onur A. Koska, 2018. "Puzzling out the Feldstein-Horioka Paradox for Turkey by a Time-Varying Parameter Approach," ERC Working Papers 1808, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2018.
    3. Polbin Andrey & Zubarev Andrey & Rybak Konstantin, 2020. "Capital mobility in commodity-exporting economies," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 Years of Capital Mobility in the Eurozone: Breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 867-905, November.
    5. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2022. "The rise and fall of global financial flows in EU 15: new evidence using dynamic panels with common correlated effects," Working Papers 2212, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    6. Simmons, Richard & Dini, Paolo & Culkin, Nigel & Littera, Giuseppe, 2021. "Crisis and the role of money in the real and financial economies: an innovative approach to monetary stimulus," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 110904, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Richard Simmons & Paolo Dini & Nigel Culkin & Giuseppe Littera, 2021. "Crisis and the Role of Money in the Real and Financial Economies—An Innovative Approach to Monetary Stimulus," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-28, March.
    8. Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Gros, Daniel, 2022. "Savings–investment and the current account More measurement than identity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    9. Makin, Anthony J. & Ratnasiri, Shyama, 2023. "New estimates of international capital mobility for select OECD economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 127-138.
    10. Neto, David, 2021. "Adaptive LASSO for selecting Fourier coefficients in a functional smooth time-varying cointegrating regression: An application to the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 253-264.
    11. Pascual-Saez, Marta & Cantarero-Prieto, David & Pires Manso, José R., 2020. "Does population ageing affect savings in Europe?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 291-306.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International capital mobility; Feldstein–Horioka puzzle; Kalman filter;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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