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Winners and losers in Vietnam equitisation programs

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  • Le, Hoang Cuong
  • Cabalu, Helen
  • Salim, Ruhul

Abstract

This article develops a computable general equilibrium model of Vietnam to assess the long-run likely effects of the country's equitisation programs on its national economic outcomes and industries. Equitisation is found to be pro-growth as reflected in its contribution to increasing real GDP growth rate in the long run. In terms of industrial output growth rates, the winners include electrical, steel and other manufacturing, while the losers include rice and paddy, and oil, gas and petroleum. To achieve better economic outcomes, the coverage of equitisation should be extended to include medium to large state-owned enterprises across all industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Le, Hoang Cuong & Cabalu, Helen & Salim, Ruhul, 2014. "Winners and losers in Vietnam equitisation programs," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 172-184.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:36:y:2014:i:1:p:172-184
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.10.012
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    Cited by:

    1. Viet Nguyen, Thanh & Simioni, Michel & Le Van, Dao, 2019. "Assessment of TFP change at provincial level in Vietnam: New evidence using Färe–Primont productivity index," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 329-345.
    2. Nguyen, Dao Thi Hong & Sun, Sizhong & Anwar, Sajid, 2017. "A long-run and short-run analysis of the macroeconomic interrelationships in Vietnam," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-25.
    3. Franco, Chiara & Sanfilippo, Marco & Seric, Adnan, 2019. "Investors’ characteristics and the business climate as drivers of backward linkages in Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 882-904.
    4. Barker, Tom & Üngör, Murat, 2019. "Vietnam: The next asian Tiger?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 96-118.
    5. , Aisdl, 2019. "Stock Market And Economic Growth In Vietnam," OSF Preprints ucbhp, Center for Open Science.
    6. Aidan R. Vining & David L. Weimer, 2016. "The challenges of fractionalized property rights in public‐private hybrid organizations: The good, the bad, and the ugly," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(2), pages 161-178, June.
    7. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2019. "Stock Market And Economic Growth In Vietnam," OSF Preprints de8zq, Center for Open Science.
    8. Thanh, Pham Tien & Saito, Katsuhiro & Duong, Pham Bao, 2019. "Impact of microcredit on rural household welfare and economic growth in Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 120-139.
    9. Van Le, Dao & Tran, Tuyen Quang, 2022. "Does the private sector increase inequality? Evidence from a transitional country," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 451-466.
    10. Thaichon, Park & Quach, Sara, 2016. "Dark motives-counterfeit purchase framework: Internal and external motives behind counterfeit purchase via digital platforms," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 82-91.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Doi Moi; Privatisation; Equitisation; State-owned enterprises; Computable general equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • P22 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Prices

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