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Assessing the importance of global shocks versus country-specific shocks

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  • Souki, Kaouthar
  • Enders, Walter

Abstract

A common assumption is that global shocks have little influence on current accounts, relative output levels, and real exchange rates. We use a four-variable structural VAR of the Sims-Bernanke type that allows us to obtain a global shock and three country-specific shocks. We find that global shocks explain sizable portions of real rate movements and bilateral current account balances. Our decomposition also allows us to measure the extent to which "third-country effects" are important in explaining bilateral real exchange rates and relative output levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Souki, Kaouthar & Enders, Walter, 2008. "Assessing the importance of global shocks versus country-specific shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1420-1429, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:27:y:2008:i:8:p:1420-1429
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Drissi, Ramzi, 2016. "Intertemporal Modeling of the Current Account," MPRA Paper 96729, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2018.
    3. Winkelried, Diego & Saldarriaga, Miguel, 2013. "Socios comerciales y crecimiento en América Latina: Un enfoque SVAR dinámico," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 25, pages 81-102.
    4. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Al-Jefri, Essam H., 2015. "الحساب الجاري في المدى البعيد عبر نموذج داخلي الزمن [The Current Account in the Long Run through the Intertemporal Model]," MPRA Paper 66527, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Al-Jefri, Essam H., 2015. "نموذج نظري إسلامي داخلي الزمن للحساب الجاري [Islamic Theoretical Intertemporal Model of the Current Account]," MPRA Paper 69963, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jan 2016.
    6. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Drissi, Ramzi, 2015. "Long Run Current Account through theoretical Intertemporal Model," MPRA Paper 71997, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Apr 2015.
    7. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Al-Jefri, Essam H., 2016. "الحساب الجاري للاقتصاد السعودي عبر نموذج داخلي الزمن دلائل من منهجية نموذج التقهقر الذاتي البنيوي [The Current Account of Saudi Economy through Intertemporal Model: Evidence from SVAR]," MPRA Paper 80302, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2017.
    8. Chiang, Shu-Hen & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Liao, Ying, 2021. "Exploring the sources of inflation dynamics: New evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 313-332.

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