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One fundamental and two taxes: When does a Tobin tax reduce financial price volatility?

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  • Deng, Yongheng
  • Liu, Xin
  • Wei, Shang-Jin

Abstract

We aim to make two contributions to the literature on the effects of transaction costs on financial price volatility. First, by augmenting a double differencing approach with a research design with three ingredients (a common set of companies simultaneously listed on two stock exchanges, binding capital controls, and different timing of changes in transaction costs), we obtain a control group that has identical corporate fundamentals as the treatment group. We apply the research design to Chinese stocks that are cross-listed in Hong Kong and Mainland China. Second, we allow transaction costs to have different effects in markets with different maturity. We find a significantly negative relationship, on average, between stamp duty increase and price volatility. However, this average effect masks some important heterogeneity. In particular, when institutional investors have become a significant part of the traders’ pool, we find an opposite effect. Overall, our results suggest that a Tobin tax could work in an immature market, but can backfire in a more developed market.

Suggested Citation

  • Deng, Yongheng & Liu, Xin & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2018. "One fundamental and two taxes: When does a Tobin tax reduce financial price volatility?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(3), pages 663-692.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:130:y:2018:i:3:p:663-692
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.04.009
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    12. Eichfelder, Sebastian & Lau, Mona, 2016. "Financial transaction taxes: Announcement effects, short-run effects, and long-run effects," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 211, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    13. Natividad, Gabriel, 2019. "Base tributaria y discontinuidades geopolíticas [Tax base and geopolitical discontinuities]," MPRA Paper 113169, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Wang, Litan & You, Kefei, 2022. "The impact of political connections on corporate tax burden: Evidence from the Chinese market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    15. Jerry Parwada & Yixuan Rui & Jianfeng Shen, 2022. "Financial transaction tax and market quality: Evidence from France†," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 90-113, March.
    16. Eichfelder, Sebastian & Lau, Mona & Noth, Felix, 2018. "The impact of financial transaction taxes on stock markets: Short-run effects, long-run effects, and migration," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 228, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    17. Eichfelder, Sebastian & Noack, Mona & Noth, Felix, 2022. "The impact of financial transaction taxes on stock markets: Short-run effects, long-run effects, and reallocation of trading activity," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
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    20. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2020. "China’s Model of Managing the Financial System," Working Papers 2020-45, Princeton University. Economics Department..
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    23. Liu, Hongqi & Peng, Cameron & Xiong, Wei A. & Xiong, Wei, 2020. "Resolving the excessive trading puzzle: an integrated approach based on surveys and transactions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118870, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    24. Hongqi Liu & Cameron Peng & Wei A. Xiong & Wei Xiong, 2020. "Taming the Bias Zoo," NBER Working Papers 26911, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tobin tax; Transaction cost; Volatility; Speculation; Limits to arbitrage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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