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The impact of diverse measures of default risk on UK stock returns

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  • Chen, Jie
  • Hill, Paula

Abstract

A number of recent papers examine the relationship between default risk and equity returns, and the results are mixed. These studies employ different measures of default risk and we find that correlations between eight diverse measures of default risk tend to be less than 50%. Nonetheless, we find that the relationship between stock returns and diverse measures of default risk tends to be consistent; default risk is a significant determinant of stock returns and this relationship is “hump backed”, as predicted by Garlappi and Yan (2011).

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  • Chen, Jie & Hill, Paula, 2013. "The impact of diverse measures of default risk on UK stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5118-5131.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:12:p:5118-5131
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.06.013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bátiz-Zuk Enrique & Mohamed Abdulkadir & Sánchez-Cajal Fátima, 2021. "Exploring the sources of loan default clustering using survival analysis with frailty," Working Papers 2021-14, Banco de México.
    2. Nawar Hashem & Larry Su, 2015. "Industry Concentration and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from the UK," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 769-785, August.
    3. Koerniadi, Hardjo & Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar & Tourani-Rad, Alireza, 2015. "Cross-border mergers and acquisitions and default risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 336-348.
    4. P. Zhukov E. & П. Жуков Е., 2018. "Разве стоимость компании действительно зависит от средневзвешенной стоимости капитала и свободного денежного потока? Свидетельства иррациональности в нефтегазовом секторе // Does Enterprise Value Real," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 6(1), pages 17-28.
    5. Tolikas, Konstantinos & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2017. "Is default risk priced equally fast in the credit default swap and the stock markets? AN empirical investigation," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 39-57.
    6. Gupta, Jairaj & Chaudhry, Sajid, 2019. "Mind the tail, or risk to fail," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 167-185.
    7. Chen, Jie & De Cesari, Amedeo & Hill, Paula & Ozkan, Neslihan, 2018. "Initial compensation contracts for new executives and financial distress risk: An empirical investigation of UK firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 292-313.
    8. Nedumparambil, Elizabeth & Bhandari, Anup Kumar, 2020. "Credit risk – Return puzzle: Evidence from India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 195-206.
    9. Idrees, Sahar & Qayyum, Abdul, 2018. "The Impact of Financial Distress Risk on Equity Returns: A Case Study of Non-Financial Firms of Pakistan Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 85346, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Gurmeet Singh & Ravi Singla, 2023. "Default Risk and Stock Returns: Evidence from Indian Corporate Sector," Vision, , vol. 27(3), pages 347-359, June.
    11. Lanlan Liu & Dan Luo & Liang Han, 2019. "Default risk, state ownership and the cross-section of stock returns: evidence from China," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 933-966, November.
    12. Doumpos, Michalis & Figueira, José Rui, 2019. "A multicriteria outranking approach for modeling corporate credit ratings: An application of the Electre Tri-nC method," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 166-180.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Default risk; Credit rating; Probability of default; Stock returns;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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