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Stock Market Reaction To Anticipated Versus Surprise Rating Changes

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  • Lynnette D. Purda

Abstract

I examine whether bond rating changes can be anticipated by investors and test whether the stock price reaction to the eventual change varies as a result. All else equal, the market reaction to changes that could have been easily predicted should be significantly smaller than the reaction to changes that are largely a surprise. Although rating upgrades prove difficult to predict, approximately 20% of downgrades can be correctly predicted using a relatively small number of publicly available variables. There is no significant difference between the stock price reaction to anticipated versus unanticipated rating changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Lynnette D. Purda, 2007. "Stock Market Reaction To Anticipated Versus Surprise Rating Changes," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 30(2), pages 301-320, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:30:y:2007:i:2:p:301-320
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2007.00215.x
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