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A common factor analysis for the US and the German stock markets during overlapping trading hours

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  • Flad, Michael
  • Jung, Robert C.

Abstract

We employ a bivariate common factor model to establish a permanent-transitory decomposition of two major stock indices (the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) for Germany and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) for the United States). Using high-frequency data, we (1) identify a common trend shared by both indices, (2) find that the DJIA contributes up to 95% to the total innovation of the common factor, (3) show that both markets adjust within minutes to a system-wide shock, and (4) verify by hypothesis testing that the DJIA is the driving force in the transatlantic system of stock indices.

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  • Flad, Michael & Jung, Robert C., 2008. "A common factor analysis for the US and the German stock markets during overlapping trading hours," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 498-512, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:18:y:2008:i:5:p:498-512
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    2. Vollmer, Teresa & Von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan, 2017. "Price discovery in the European wheat market," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261135, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Dimpfl, Thomas & Peter, Franziska J., 2014. "The impact of the financial crisis on transatlantic information flows: An intraday analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-13.
    4. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Floros, Christos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2021. "Realized volatility spillovers between US spot and futures during ECB news: Evidence from the European sovereign debt crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Vollmer, T. & Von Cramon-Taubadel, S., 2018. "Dynamic price discovery in the European wheat market based on the concept of partial cointegration," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 276031, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Herrera, Rodrigo & Schipp, Bernhard, 2014. "Statistics of extreme events in risk management: The impact of the subprime and global financial crisis on the German stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 218-238.
    7. Teresa Vollmer & Helmut Herwartz & Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel, 2020. "Measuring price discovery in the European wheat market using the partial cointegration approach," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(3), pages 1173-1200.
    8. Kao, Erin H. & Ho, Tsung-wu & Fung, Hung-Gay, 2015. "Price linkage between the US and Japanese futures across different time zones: An analysis of the minute-by-minute data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 321-336.
    9. Kuck, Konstantin & Schweikert, Karsten, 2023. "Price discovery in equity markets: A state-dependent analysis of spot and futures markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Buckle, Mike & Chen, Jing & Guo, Qian & Tong, Chen, 2018. "Do ETFs lead the price moves? Evidence from the major US markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 91-103.

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