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Sovereign credit rating provision and financial development

Author

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  • Kowalewski, Oskar
  • Luitel, Prabesh
  • Vanpée, Rosanne

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of obtaining a sovereign credit rating for the first time on financial development in 50 emerging countries. Controlling for endogeneity and selection bias, we show that receiving an initial sovereign credit rating significantly transforms domestic financial systems. Rated countries experience a reallocation of bank assets, reduced reliance on domestic bank financing, and increased access to international bond markets, enabling expanded private-sector credit. Sovereign ratings also stimulate local currency bond market development and enhance foreign currency bond issuance. Additionally, they attract portfolio equity inflows and foster the internationalization of domestic banks, though their effects on direct debt flows and FDI are less pronounced. Overall, our findings highlight the critical role of sovereign credit ratings in advancing financial development and integration in emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Kowalewski, Oskar & Luitel, Prabesh & Vanpée, Rosanne, 2025. "Sovereign credit rating provision and financial development," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:101:y:2025:i:c:s1042443125000435
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102153
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    Keywords

    Sovereign credit rating; Financial development; Banking sector; Bond market; Foreign capital inflows; Emerging markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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