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Estimating the economic and social impact of conditional cash transfers from the Prospera Program in Mexico

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  • Beltran, L. Dary
  • Delgado, M. Carmen

Abstract

This research analyses the Prospera program's impact on poverty and income distribution through a computable general equilibrium model. It concludes that transfers to households have a positive impact on the Mexican economy but hide the real problem—the low wage share—that, in the long term, prevents poverty from worsening but does not reduce the population in poverty or inequality. In a scenario without transfers, neither the population in poverty nor the Gini Index decreases significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Beltran, L. Dary & Delgado, M. Carmen, 2023. "Estimating the economic and social impact of conditional cash transfers from the Prospera Program in Mexico," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:epplan:v:100:y:2023:i:c:s0149718923000988
    DOI: 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2023.102321
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Applied general equilibrium model; Income redistribution; Social accounting matrix; Poverty; Well-being;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E16 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Social Accounting Matrix
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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