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Determinants of the wholesale prices of energy and ancillary services in the U.S. Midcontinent electricity market

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  • Zarnikau, J.
  • Tsai, C.H.
  • Woo, C.K.

Abstract

This paper examines wholesale price behavior of energy and ancillary services (AS) in the day-ahead market (DAM) and real-time market (RTM) of the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO), the second largest regional transmission organization in the U.S. Using hourly data for the period of 12/19/2013 to 12/30/2017, it estimates a system of 16 electricity price regressions that recognizes the interdependence of MISO’s electricity products. Its key findings are: (1) MISO’s regional DAM energy prices increase with the day-ahead forecasts of natural gas price and MISO’s regional loads, PJM’s DAM energy price at its MISO interface, and MISO’s DAM AS requirements; (2) MISO’s regional DAM energy prices decline with DAM schedules for nuclear and wind generation; (3) MISO’s regional RTM energy prices increase with, but diverge from, MISO’s regional DAM energy prices; (4) MISO’s system-average DAM AS prices increase with MISO’s system-average DAM energy price and procured amounts of AS; and (5) MISO’s system-average RTM AS prices increase with MISO’s system-average RTM energy price and system-average DAM AS prices. These findings imply that MISO can reduce its DAM and RTM prices for energy and AS by accelerating wind generation development, expanding demand-side-management, and easing inter-regional transmission congestion.

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  • Zarnikau, J. & Tsai, C.H. & Woo, C.K., 2020. "Determinants of the wholesale prices of energy and ancillary services in the U.S. Midcontinent electricity market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:195:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220301584
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.117051
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wholesale electricity prices; Day-ahead markets; Real-time markets; Efficient trading hypothesis; Merit order effect hypothesis; MISO;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Auctions
    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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