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Framing and modeling of a low carbon society: An overview

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  • Kainuma, Mikiko
  • Shukla, Priyadarshi R.
  • Jiang, Kejun

Abstract

Asian Modeling Exercise (AME) studies show feasible GHG emissions pathways consistent with the 2degrees centigrade global stabilization target. The aim of the low carbon society subgroup is to propose frameworks, modeling methodologies, and workable roadmaps that will transform in-situ socioeconomic development to a sustainable low carbon society. This paper overviews LCS modeling studies and presents the LCS modeling frameworks and approaches used by the country modeling teams from Japan, China, India, Korea, and Nepal. The LCS modeling is soft-linked to global targets through regional emission constraints derived from the global stabilization targets. The disaggregated, yet soft-linked, assessments provide opportunities to articulate scenarios that include context-specific inputs, and thereby explicitly consider benefits and deliver more realistic and implementable roadmaps. We find that LCS modeling exercises are still at a relatively early stage in terms of modeling space, and need methodological enhancements. However, this approach offers considerable promise in a world where major emerging economies are undergoing rapid transformation, national and regional interests everywhere still precede global interests, and implementation of the carbon market remains fragmentary. Significant opportunities therefore exist for co-benefits to be gained, opportunities that could be the key drivers of short-term actions vital to the realization of the low carbon transition.

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  • Kainuma, Mikiko & Shukla, Priyadarshi R. & Jiang, Kejun, 2012. "Framing and modeling of a low carbon society: An overview," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S3), pages 316-324.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:34:y:2012:i:s3:p:s316-s324
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.07.015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shukla, Priyadarshi R. & Chaturvedi, Vaibhav, 2012. "Low carbon and clean energy scenarios for India: Analysis of targets approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S3), pages 487-495.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ottmar Edenhofer & Susanne Kadner & Christoph von Stechow & Gregor Schwerhoff & Gunnar Luderer, 2014. "Linking climate change mitigation research to sustainable development," Chapters, in: Giles Atkinson & Simon Dietz & Eric Neumayer & Matthew Agarwala (ed.), Handbook of Sustainable Development, chapter 30, pages 476-499, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Calvin, Katherine & Clarke, Leon & Krey, Volker & Blanford, Geoffrey & Jiang, Kejun & Kainuma, Mikiko & Kriegler, Elmar & Luderer, Gunnar & Shukla, P.R., 2012. "The role of Asia in mitigating climate change: Results from the Asia modeling exercise," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S3), pages 251-260.
    3. Wang, Yuanping & Ren, Hong & Dong, Liang & Park, Hung-Suck & Zhang, Yuepeng & Xu, Yanwei, 2019. "Smart solutions shape for sustainable low-carbon future: A review on smart cities and industrial parks in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 103-117.
    4. Xiangsheng Dou & Huanying Cui, 2017. "Low-carbon society creation and socio-economic structural transition in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(5), pages 1577-1599, October.
    5. Sang Jin Choi & Dong Gu Choi & Paul Friley & Hyunkeong Kim & Sang Yong Park, 2017. "Quantitative Analysis on the Energy and Environmental Impact of the Korean National Energy R&D Roadmap a Using Bottom-Up Energy System Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Low carbon society; Climate change; Sustainable development; Emission mitigation; Scenario modeling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O21 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Planning Models; Planning Policy

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