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Can the hysteresis hypothesis in Spanish regional unemployment be beaten? New evidence from unit root tests with breaks

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  • García-Cintado, Alejandro
  • Romero-Ávila, Diego
  • Usabiaga, Carlos

Abstract

This paper tests the hysteresis hypothesis in Spanish regional unemployment using quarterly data over the 1976–2014 period using a large battery of univariate unit root tests allowing for two breaks in the trend function of the series. The evidence strongly supports the hysteresis hypothesis for each of the 17 Spanish regions, since we consistently fail to reject the unit root null hypothesis. When the analysis is extended to allow for five structural breaks, the conclusion remains unaltered. The results call for policy measures to reduce the sluggishness in the adjustment of the labour market to adverse shocks.

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  • García-Cintado, Alejandro & Romero-Ávila, Diego & Usabiaga, Carlos, 2015. "Can the hysteresis hypothesis in Spanish regional unemployment be beaten? New evidence from unit root tests with breaks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 244-252.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:47:y:2015:i:c:p:244-252
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.02.035
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    Cited by:

    1. Cuéllar-Martín, Jaime & Martín-Román, Ángel L. & Moral, Alfonso, 2017. "Natural and cyclical unemployment: a stochastic frontier decomposition and economic policy implications," MPRA Paper 76503, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Pikoko, Vuyokazi & Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "Is there hysteresis in South African unemployment? Evidence from the post-recessionary period," MPRA Paper 83962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. repec:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1196-z is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2015. "Unemployment Hysteresis in the “Nordic Kitten”: Evidence from Five Estonian Regions," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(5), pages 631-642, December.
    5. Nsenga, Dieu & Nach, Mirada & Khobai, Hlalefang & Moyo, Clement & Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "Is it the natural rate or hysteresis hypothesis for unemployment rates in Newly Industrialized Economies?," MPRA Paper 86274, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Dieu Nsenga & Mirada Nach & Hlalefang Khobai & Clement Moyo & Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Is it the natural rate or hysteresis hypothesis for unemployment in Newly Industrialized Economies?," Working Papers 1817, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Apr 2018.

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